Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 3 (99.7% implied probability), driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of 14–21°C under persistent cloudy skies, with hourly models peaking precisely at 20°C amid light winds and high humidity limiting solar heating. Current morning observations confirm overcast conditions and temperatures around 15°C, aligning with early-spring climatology where Wuhan averages daily highs near 19–22°C, rarely exceeding forecasts by more than 1–2°C without clearing. Model consensus from local and global sources reinforces this, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected afternoon cloud breaks boosting insolation to nudge toward 21°C, or prolonged mist cooling below 19°C; watch airport METAR updates through evening for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
20°C 99.7%
21°C <1%
19°C <1%
22°C <1%
$76,585 Vol.
$76,585 Vol.
3 avr. 2026
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99.7%
21°C <1%
19°C <1%
22°C <1%
$76,585 Vol.
$76,585 Vol.
3 avr. 2026
19°C
$13,553 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$9,200 Vol.
100%
21°C
$9,672 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$7,819 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,068 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,162 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,771 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$3,192 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 3 (99.7% implied probability), driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of 14–21°C under persistent cloudy skies, with hourly models peaking precisely at 20°C amid light winds and high humidity limiting solar heating. Current morning observations confirm overcast conditions and temperatures around 15°C, aligning with early-spring climatology where Wuhan averages daily highs near 19–22°C, rarely exceeding forecasts by more than 1–2°C without clearing. Model consensus from local and global sources reinforces this, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected afternoon cloud breaks boosting insolation to nudge toward 21°C, or prolonged mist cooling below 19°C; watch airport METAR updates through evening for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$76,585Date de fin
3 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 3 (99.7% implied probability), driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of 14–21°C under persistent cloudy skies, with hourly models peaking precisely at 20°C amid light winds and high humidity limiting solar heating. Current morning observations confirm overcast conditions and temperatures around 15°C, aligning with early-spring climatology where Wuhan averages daily highs near 19–22°C, rarely exceeding forecasts by more than 1–2°C without clearing. Model consensus from local and global sources reinforces this, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected afternoon cloud breaks boosting insolation to nudge toward 21°C, or prolonged mist cooling below 19°C; watch airport METAR updates through evening for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$76,585Date de fin
3 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 3 (99.7% implied probability), driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of 14–21°C under persistent cloudy skies, with hourly models peaking precisely at 20°C amid light winds and high humidity limiting solar heating. Current morning observations confirm overcast conditions and temperatures around 15°C, aligning with early-spring climatology where Wuhan averages daily highs near 19–22°C, rarely exceeding forecasts by more than 1–2°C without clearing. Model consensus from local and global sources reinforces this, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected afternoon cloud breaks boosting insolation to nudge toward 21°C, or prolonged mist cooling below 19°C; watch airport METAR updates through evening for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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