India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 38°C in Lucknow on April 3 under clear skies transitioning to mainly clear overnight, following observations of 37.5°C on April 2 (above normal by 1.1°C) and 36.3°C on April 1. Yet trader consensus heavily favors 35°C at 65.5% implied probability, with 36°C at 34%, reflecting early-April climatological norms of 35-37°C amid continental tropical air masses and high solar insolation, tempered by recent slight dips and model uncertainties in peak afternoon heating. Current midday reading of 31°C leaves room for 37-38°C peaks, but light winds and minor cloud variability introduce doubt; hourly IMD updates through evening will clarify resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 3?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 3?
35°C 67%
36°C 38%
37°C <1%
43°C <1%
$85,016 Vol.
$85,016 Vol.
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
67%
36°C
38%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
<1%
35°C 67%
36°C 38%
37°C <1%
43°C <1%
$85,016 Vol.
$85,016 Vol.
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
67%
36°C
38%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 38°C in Lucknow on April 3 under clear skies transitioning to mainly clear overnight, following observations of 37.5°C on April 2 (above normal by 1.1°C) and 36.3°C on April 1. Yet trader consensus heavily favors 35°C at 65.5% implied probability, with 36°C at 34%, reflecting early-April climatological norms of 35-37°C amid continental tropical air masses and high solar insolation, tempered by recent slight dips and model uncertainties in peak afternoon heating. Current midday reading of 31°C leaves room for 37-38°C peaks, but light winds and minor cloud variability introduce doubt; hourly IMD updates through evening will clarify resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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