Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models converge on a Shanghai daytime high of 16°C on April 3, driven by a frontal boundary bringing persistent moderate rain, overcast skies, and cooler mid-level air, suppressing solar heating and aligning with the 89% market-implied probability for this outcome. Morning observations report starting temperatures near 14°C with southeast winds at 16-24 km/h and heavy cloud cover at 70-80%, consistent with yesterday's warmer 20°C high giving way to this cooler pattern. Early April climatology supports highs of 15-18°C, but today's synoptic setup favors the lower range; real-time data from official stations like Shanghai Pudong will finalize resolution by evening, with minimal upside risk to 17°C absent unexpected clearing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 3?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 3?
16°C 90%
17°C 9%
18°C 1.5%
19°C <1%
$131,963 Vol.
$131,963 Vol.
3 avr. 2026
16°C
90%
17°C
9%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 90%
17°C 9%
18°C 1.5%
19°C <1%
$131,963 Vol.
$131,963 Vol.
3 avr. 2026
16°C
$13,629 Vol.
90%
17°C
$10,411 Vol.
9%
18°C
$13,585 Vol.
2%
19°C
$9,663 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$16,506 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models converge on a Shanghai daytime high of 16°C on April 3, driven by a frontal boundary bringing persistent moderate rain, overcast skies, and cooler mid-level air, suppressing solar heating and aligning with the 89% market-implied probability for this outcome. Morning observations report starting temperatures near 14°C with southeast winds at 16-24 km/h and heavy cloud cover at 70-80%, consistent with yesterday's warmer 20°C high giving way to this cooler pattern. Early April climatology supports highs of 15-18°C, but today's synoptic setup favors the lower range; real-time data from official stations like Shanghai Pudong will finalize resolution by evening, with minimal upside risk to 17°C absent unexpected clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Volume
$131,963Date de fin
3 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:54 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models converge on a Shanghai daytime high of 16°C on April 3, driven by a frontal boundary bringing persistent moderate rain, overcast skies, and cooler mid-level air, suppressing solar heating and aligning with the 89% market-implied probability for this outcome. Morning observations report starting temperatures near 14°C with southeast winds at 16-24 km/h and heavy cloud cover at 70-80%, consistent with yesterday's warmer 20°C high giving way to this cooler pattern. Early April climatology supports highs of 15-18°C, but today's synoptic setup favors the lower range; real-time data from official stations like Shanghai Pudong will finalize resolution by evening, with minimal upside risk to 17°C absent unexpected clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$131,963Date de fin
3 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:54 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models converge on a Shanghai daytime high of 16°C on April 3, driven by a frontal boundary bringing persistent moderate rain, overcast skies, and cooler mid-level air, suppressing solar heating and aligning with the 89% market-implied probability for this outcome. Morning observations report starting temperatures near 14°C with southeast winds at 16-24 km/h and heavy cloud cover at 70-80%, consistent with yesterday's warmer 20°C high giving way to this cooler pattern. Early April climatology supports highs of 15-18°C, but today's synoptic setup favors the lower range; real-time data from official stations like Shanghai Pudong will finalize resolution by evening, with minimal upside risk to 17°C absent unexpected clearing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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