Official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station—the market's resolution source—confirm a maximum temperature of 29°C on April 2, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with leading numerical weather prediction models (GFS, ECMWF ensembles) projecting highs of 27-29°C amid persistent high-pressure systems suppressing cloud cover and promoting above-climatological autumn warmth, exceeding São Paulo's typical April maximum of around 25°C. Real-time data updates throughout the day reinforced this as the peak, with minimal intraday volatility. Scenarios challenging this include rare official data revisions from equipment recalibration or quality control, but verified measurements carry authoritative weight from INMET monitoring protocols.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 2 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 2 avril ?
29°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$89,545 Vol.
$89,545 Vol.
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou plus
<1%
29°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$89,545 Vol.
$89,545 Vol.
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station—the market's resolution source—confirm a maximum temperature of 29°C on April 2, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with leading numerical weather prediction models (GFS, ECMWF ensembles) projecting highs of 27-29°C amid persistent high-pressure systems suppressing cloud cover and promoting above-climatological autumn warmth, exceeding São Paulo's typical April maximum of around 25°C. Real-time data updates throughout the day reinforced this as the peak, with minimal intraday volatility. Scenarios challenging this include rare official data revisions from equipment recalibration or quality control, but verified measurements carry authoritative weight from INMET monitoring protocols.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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