Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 5, with 28°C edging 27°C amid a developing subtropical high pressure ridge ushering warmer air masses into southeast Brazil. Recent INMET updates and ensemble guidance from sites like timeanddate.com project a mostly sunny day peaking near 27°C, but with 19% chance of late showers from lingering low-level moisture and convective instability, potentially capping highs or allowing brief spikes to 28°C under clearer skies. This aligns with early April climatology averaging 25–27°C, elevated by the season's first heat wave signal starting April 4. Watch daily GFS/ECMWF runs and April 4 observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 5?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 5?
28°C 29%
27°C 29%
26°C 21%
29°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
11%
26°C
21%
27°C
29%
28°C
29%
29°C
13%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 29%
27°C 29%
26°C 21%
29°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
22°C or below
$273 Vol.
1%
23°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$103 Vol.
4%
25°C
$148 Vol.
11%
26°C
$174 Vol.
21%
27°C
$197 Vol.
29%
28°C
$217 Vol.
29%
29°C
$540 Vol.
13%
30°C
$79 Vol.
6%
31°C
$127 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$144 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 5, with 28°C edging 27°C amid a developing subtropical high pressure ridge ushering warmer air masses into southeast Brazil. Recent INMET updates and ensemble guidance from sites like timeanddate.com project a mostly sunny day peaking near 27°C, but with 19% chance of late showers from lingering low-level moisture and convective instability, potentially capping highs or allowing brief spikes to 28°C under clearer skies. This aligns with early April climatology averaging 25–27°C, elevated by the season's first heat wave signal starting April 4. Watch daily GFS/ECMWF runs and April 4 observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,222Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 5, with 28°C edging 27°C amid a developing subtropical high pressure ridge ushering warmer air masses into southeast Brazil. Recent INMET updates and ensemble guidance from sites like timeanddate.com project a mostly sunny day peaking near 27°C, but with 19% chance of late showers from lingering low-level moisture and convective instability, potentially capping highs or allowing brief spikes to 28°C under clearer skies. This aligns with early April climatology averaging 25–27°C, elevated by the season's first heat wave signal starting April 4. Watch daily GFS/ECMWF runs and April 4 observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,222Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 5, with 28°C edging 27°C amid a developing subtropical high pressure ridge ushering warmer air masses into southeast Brazil. Recent INMET updates and ensemble guidance from sites like timeanddate.com project a mostly sunny day peaking near 27°C, but with 19% chance of late showers from lingering low-level moisture and convective instability, potentially capping highs or allowing brief spikes to 28°C under clearer skies. This aligns with early April climatology averaging 25–27°C, elevated by the season's first heat wave signal starting April 4. Watch daily GFS/ECMWF runs and April 4 observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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