The evenly matched market-implied probabilities across temperature outcomes underscore substantial uncertainty in short-term weather models for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 7, with ensemble forecasts from sources like AccuWeather centering around 31-32°C amid transitioning monsoon conditions. BMKG's latest advisories highlight potential light rain and high cloud cover through early April, which could suppress peaks via increased humidity and shading, while historical April highs average 32°C and urban heat island effects in Jakarta often push readings toward 33-34°C under clearer skies. ENSO-neutral status per NOAA reduces chances of El Niño-driven extremes, differentiating lower outcomes (27-30°C) via convective activity from higher ones (34°C+). Watch BMKG updates for model refinements over the next 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Jakarta le 7 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Jakarta le 7 avril ?
28°C 26%
29°C 26%
30°C 26%
31°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 avr. 2026
27°C ou moins
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34 °C
26%
35°C
26%
36°C
26%
37°C ou plus
14%
28°C 26%
29°C 26%
30°C 26%
31°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 avr. 2026
27°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$0 Vol.
26%
31°C
$0 Vol.
26%
32°C
$0 Vol.
26%
33°C
$0 Vol.
26%
34 °C
$0 Vol.
26%
35°C
$0 Vol.
26%
36°C
$0 Vol.
26%
37°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The evenly matched market-implied probabilities across temperature outcomes underscore substantial uncertainty in short-term weather models for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 7, with ensemble forecasts from sources like AccuWeather centering around 31-32°C amid transitioning monsoon conditions. BMKG's latest advisories highlight potential light rain and high cloud cover through early April, which could suppress peaks via increased humidity and shading, while historical April highs average 32°C and urban heat island effects in Jakarta often push readings toward 33-34°C under clearer skies. ENSO-neutral status per NOAA reduces chances of El Niño-driven extremes, differentiating lower outcomes (27-30°C) via convective activity from higher ones (34°C+). Watch BMKG updates for model refinements over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$15Date de fin
7 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The evenly matched market-implied probabilities across temperature outcomes underscore substantial uncertainty in short-term weather models for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 7, with ensemble forecasts from sources like AccuWeather centering around 31-32°C amid transitioning monsoon conditions. BMKG's latest advisories highlight potential light rain and high cloud cover through early April, which could suppress peaks via increased humidity and shading, while historical April highs average 32°C and urban heat island effects in Jakarta often push readings toward 33-34°C under clearer skies. ENSO-neutral status per NOAA reduces chances of El Niño-driven extremes, differentiating lower outcomes (27-30°C) via convective activity from higher ones (34°C+). Watch BMKG updates for model refinements over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15Date de fin
7 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The evenly matched market-implied probabilities across temperature outcomes underscore substantial uncertainty in short-term weather models for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 7, with ensemble forecasts from sources like AccuWeather centering around 31-32°C amid transitioning monsoon conditions. BMKG's latest advisories highlight potential light rain and high cloud cover through early April, which could suppress peaks via increased humidity and shading, while historical April highs average 32°C and urban heat island effects in Jakarta often push readings toward 33-34°C under clearer skies. ENSO-neutral status per NOAA reduces chances of El Niño-driven extremes, differentiating lower outcomes (27-30°C) via convective activity from higher ones (34°C+). Watch BMKG updates for model refinements over the next 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes