Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 11°C (42%) and 12°C (39.5%) for Ankara's highest temperature on April 3 at Esenboğa International Airport station, driven by latest forecasts from AccuWeather and Weather Underground projecting daytime highs near 12°C amid partly cloudy skies, afternoon showers (50-65% chance), and light westerly winds at 10-15 mph. Differentiating factors include cloud cover suppressing solar heating—potentially holding peaks at 11°C if overcast persists—versus brief sun breaks allowing 12°C, as shown in model spreads from ECMWF and GFS analogs. This cooler-than-average early April pattern (historical highs ~14°C) stems from recent advection of continental polar air; real-time hourly observations will clarify as the afternoon maximum approaches around 2-4 PM local time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Ankara on April 3?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 3?
11°C 43%
12°C 41%
13°C 8%
14°C 3.4%
$71,906 Vol.
$71,906 Vol.
11°C
43%
12°C
41%
13°C
8%
14°C
3%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
11°C 43%
12°C 41%
13°C 8%
14°C 3.4%
$71,906 Vol.
$71,906 Vol.
11°C
43%
12°C
41%
13°C
8%
14°C
3%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 11°C (42%) and 12°C (39.5%) for Ankara's highest temperature on April 3 at Esenboğa International Airport station, driven by latest forecasts from AccuWeather and Weather Underground projecting daytime highs near 12°C amid partly cloudy skies, afternoon showers (50-65% chance), and light westerly winds at 10-15 mph. Differentiating factors include cloud cover suppressing solar heating—potentially holding peaks at 11°C if overcast persists—versus brief sun breaks allowing 12°C, as shown in model spreads from ECMWF and GFS analogs. This cooler-than-average early April pattern (historical highs ~14°C) stems from recent advection of continental polar air; real-time hourly observations will clarify as the afternoon maximum approaches around 2-4 PM local time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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