Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means project a maximum temperature near 13°C at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport on April 5, driving trader consensus toward 14°C at 30% implied probability, with 13°C (22.5%) and 15°C (18%) in tight contention amid typical day-3 forecast uncertainty. This positioning stems from recent model runs showing overcast skies and weak high-pressure influence capping highs, diverging from early-April historical averages of 15.2°C where 2°C spreads are common due to Ankara's continental climate and variable spring fronts. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence versus potential afternoon clearing in outlier runs, plus light winds limiting mixing. Traders await daily Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh 00Z/12Z ensembles for refinement before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Ankara on April 5?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 5?
14°C 29%
13°C 22%
15°C 18%
16°C 16%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
8%
13°C
22%
14°C
29%
15°C
18%
16°C
16%
17°C or higher
9%
14°C 29%
13°C 22%
15°C 18%
16°C 16%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
8%
13°C
22%
14°C
29%
15°C
18%
16°C
16%
17°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means project a maximum temperature near 13°C at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport on April 5, driving trader consensus toward 14°C at 30% implied probability, with 13°C (22.5%) and 15°C (18%) in tight contention amid typical day-3 forecast uncertainty. This positioning stems from recent model runs showing overcast skies and weak high-pressure influence capping highs, diverging from early-April historical averages of 15.2°C where 2°C spreads are common due to Ankara's continental climate and variable spring fronts. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence versus potential afternoon clearing in outlier runs, plus light winds limiting mixing. Traders await daily Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh 00Z/12Z ensembles for refinement before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes