Latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and local monitoring from Mexico City's atmospheric authority indicate that northerly winds from the lingering Frente Frío 43, with speeds of 10-25 km/h and gusts to 45 km/h, will suppress maximum temperatures around 23-24°C on April 6, below the early April climatological average of 25°C at Benito Juárez International Airport. This trader consensus reflects recent observational data showing chilly mornings (4-6°C lows) and partial cloud cover limiting solar heating, with ensemble forecast models exhibiting a 1°C spread due to uncertainty in afternoon clearing and residual cold air advection. Key differentiators include potential isolated showers versus full sunshine, which could nudge the peak toward 23°C or 24°C; SMN updates expected twice daily through resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 6?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 6?
24°C 34%
23°C 30%
22°C 15%
25°C 15%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
8%
22°C
15%
23°C
30%
24°C
34%
25°C
15%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 34%
23°C 30%
22°C 15%
25°C 15%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
8%
22°C
15%
23°C
30%
24°C
34%
25°C
15%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 6:20 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and local monitoring from Mexico City's atmospheric authority indicate that northerly winds from the lingering Frente Frío 43, with speeds of 10-25 km/h and gusts to 45 km/h, will suppress maximum temperatures around 23-24°C on April 6, below the early April climatological average of 25°C at Benito Juárez International Airport. This trader consensus reflects recent observational data showing chilly mornings (4-6°C lows) and partial cloud cover limiting solar heating, with ensemble forecast models exhibiting a 1°C spread due to uncertainty in afternoon clearing and residual cold air advection. Key differentiators include potential isolated showers versus full sunshine, which could nudge the peak toward 23°C or 24°C; SMN updates expected twice daily through resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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