Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 26–28°C for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of 26°C under cloudy-to-overcast skies with light winds, alongside provincial models projecting 27–29°C amid a warming trend from southerly flows and high-pressure ridging. This marks a 4–6°C anomaly above April climatological averages of 22°C, driven by reduced cloud cover allowing stronger diurnal heating, though overcast risks could cap peaks at 26°C while clearer intervals favor 27–28°C. Ensemble model spreads highlight uncertainty from timing of afternoon cloud development; resolution hinges on official observations at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, with final updates expected overnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 4?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 4?
26°C 34%
27°C 31%
28°C 21%
25°C 13%
$22,602 Vol.
$22,602 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
13%
26°C
34%
27°C
31%
28°C
21%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 34%
27°C 31%
28°C 21%
25°C 13%
$22,602 Vol.
$22,602 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
13%
26°C
34%
27°C
31%
28°C
21%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:45 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 26–28°C for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of 26°C under cloudy-to-overcast skies with light winds, alongside provincial models projecting 27–29°C amid a warming trend from southerly flows and high-pressure ridging. This marks a 4–6°C anomaly above April climatological averages of 22°C, driven by reduced cloud cover allowing stronger diurnal heating, though overcast risks could cap peaks at 26°C while clearer intervals favor 27–28°C. Ensemble model spreads highlight uncertainty from timing of afternoon cloud development; resolution hinges on official observations at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, with final updates expected overnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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