Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 25°C (90% implied probability) in Chengdu today, aligned with the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of a 25-26°C daytime maximum at Shuangliu International Airport under cloudy skies with intervals of sunshine. Morning observations show temperatures around 16°C amid 100% humidity and light southerly winds under 12 km/h, limiting solar heating despite a warming spring trend following yesterday's rainy 22°C high. Model consensus, including international guidance aggregated on AccuWeather, reflects persistent cloud cover capping peaks near 25°C, consistent with early April climatology in the Sichuan Basin where average highs hover at 22°C. Hourly airport data updates from CMA through afternoon will refine the outcome, with clearing potentially nudging toward 26°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 3?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 3?
25°C 95%
26°C 4%
27°C <1%
29°C <1%
$69,767 Vol.
$69,767 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
95%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 95%
26°C 4%
27°C <1%
29°C <1%
$69,767 Vol.
$69,767 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
95%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 25°C (90% implied probability) in Chengdu today, aligned with the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of a 25-26°C daytime maximum at Shuangliu International Airport under cloudy skies with intervals of sunshine. Morning observations show temperatures around 16°C amid 100% humidity and light southerly winds under 12 km/h, limiting solar heating despite a warming spring trend following yesterday's rainy 22°C high. Model consensus, including international guidance aggregated on AccuWeather, reflects persistent cloud cover capping peaks near 25°C, consistent with early April climatology in the Sichuan Basin where average highs hover at 22°C. Hourly airport data updates from CMA through afternoon will refine the outcome, with clearing potentially nudging toward 26°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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