Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 24°C (41.5% implied probability) in Chongqing today, closely trailed by 23°C (24.5%) and 25°C (20.1%), reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast of 15–24°C under fine conditions with minimal cloud cover. This aligns with early April climatological averages of 23°C highs in Chongqing's humid subtropical climate within the Yangtze River basin, where basin topography traps heat and springtime solar insolation drives afternoon peaks. Morning observations near 18°C match model runs, but inherent forecast uncertainty from potential localized showers or urban heat islands could shift outcomes. Real-time station data and afternoon updates from official monitors will be pivotal as the daily maximum solidifies.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 3?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 3?
23°C 49%
24°C 40%
25°C 21.4%
26°C 3.9%
$68,559 Vol.
$68,559 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
49%
24°C
40%
25°C
21%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 49%
24°C 40%
25°C 21.4%
26°C 3.9%
$68,559 Vol.
$68,559 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
49%
24°C
40%
25°C
21%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 24°C (41.5% implied probability) in Chongqing today, closely trailed by 23°C (24.5%) and 25°C (20.1%), reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast of 15–24°C under fine conditions with minimal cloud cover. This aligns with early April climatological averages of 23°C highs in Chongqing's humid subtropical climate within the Yangtze River basin, where basin topography traps heat and springtime solar insolation drives afternoon peaks. Morning observations near 18°C match model runs, but inherent forecast uncertainty from potential localized showers or urban heat islands could shift outcomes. Real-time station data and afternoon updates from official monitors will be pivotal as the daily maximum solidifies.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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