Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 26–28°C for Chongqing's highest temperature at Jiangbei International Airport on April 4, reflecting China Meteorological Administration (CMA) short-range forecast models projecting mild highs amid a strengthening subtropical ridge fostering clear skies and southerly flows. This elevates implied probabilities above historical early-April averages of 21–23°C, driven by a recent multi-day warming trend with yesterday's high nearing 25°C under persistent high pressure. Differentiating factors include minor model divergences on afternoon cloud cover—potentially capping at 26°C if increasing—or solar insolation boosting to 28°C under full sunshine—along with urban heat island effects in the basin topography. CMA's next advisory at 12Z today could sharpen resolution odds in this 1–2°C uncertainty window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 4?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 4?
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
28°C 22%
29°C 13%
$13,879 Vol.
$13,879 Vol.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
22%
29°C
13%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
28°C 22%
29°C 13%
$13,879 Vol.
$13,879 Vol.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
22%
29°C
13%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 26–28°C for Chongqing's highest temperature at Jiangbei International Airport on April 4, reflecting China Meteorological Administration (CMA) short-range forecast models projecting mild highs amid a strengthening subtropical ridge fostering clear skies and southerly flows. This elevates implied probabilities above historical early-April averages of 21–23°C, driven by a recent multi-day warming trend with yesterday's high nearing 25°C under persistent high pressure. Differentiating factors include minor model divergences on afternoon cloud cover—potentially capping at 26°C if increasing—or solar insolation boosting to 28°C under full sunshine—along with urban heat island effects in the basin topography. CMA's next advisory at 12Z today could sharpen resolution odds in this 1–2°C uncertainty window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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