MetService's latest forecast, updated this morning for April 3, pins Wellington's maximum temperature at 19°C amid partly cloudy conditions and strengthening northerlies, driving trader consensus to a 92% implied probability on this outcome. This reflects refined model runs incorporating yesterday's observations—where highs neared 20°C—and aligns with NIWA's outlook for above-average autumn temperatures, exceeding the long-term April average of 17°C. Strong northerlies may cap intensification by mixing cooler air, while isolated showers add minor cooling potential. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon sunshine pushing toward 20°C or a warmer northerly surge; conversely, heavier showers could dip below, though hourly observations from Wellington Airport will finalize the official daily high by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wellington on April 3?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 3?
19°C 96.5%
20°C 3.4%
21°C <1%
22°C or higher <1%
$110,335 Vol.
$110,335 Vol.
19°C
97%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
19°C 96.5%
20°C 3.4%
21°C <1%
22°C or higher <1%
$110,335 Vol.
$110,335 Vol.
19°C
97%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast, updated this morning for April 3, pins Wellington's maximum temperature at 19°C amid partly cloudy conditions and strengthening northerlies, driving trader consensus to a 92% implied probability on this outcome. This reflects refined model runs incorporating yesterday's observations—where highs neared 20°C—and aligns with NIWA's outlook for above-average autumn temperatures, exceeding the long-term April average of 17°C. Strong northerlies may cap intensification by mixing cooler air, while isolated showers add minor cooling potential. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon sunshine pushing toward 20°C or a warmer northerly surge; conversely, heavier showers could dip below, though hourly observations from Wellington Airport will finalize the official daily high by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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