MetService's latest forecast, issued late April 2, projects Wellington's highest temperature on April 6 at 19-20°C under partly cloudy skies with easterly winds, fueling trader consensus with 21°C (28%) and 18°C (25.5%) as frontrunners amid model spread. This reflects uncertainty from variable cloud cover suppressing peaks, potential showers in the northeast flow across eastern New Zealand, and Wellington's maritime climate prone to rapid changes. Above the April average high of 16-17°C, outcomes differentiate on wind-driven temperature advection and shower timing, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing similar clustering. Daily updates through the weekend will refine probabilities as observations refine short-range guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wellington on April 6?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 6?
21°C 29%
18°C 26%
20°C 21%
19°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
26%
19°C
18%
20°C
21%
21°C
29%
22°C
10%
23°C or higher
10%
21°C 29%
18°C 26%
20°C 21%
19°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
13°C or below
$274 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$394 Vol.
1%
15°C
$667 Vol.
2%
16°C
$61 Vol.
2%
17°C
$49 Vol.
5%
18°C
$91 Vol.
26%
19°C
$185 Vol.
18%
20°C
$60 Vol.
21%
21°C
$90 Vol.
29%
22°C
$161 Vol.
10%
23°C or higher
$112 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued late April 2, projects Wellington's highest temperature on April 6 at 19-20°C under partly cloudy skies with easterly winds, fueling trader consensus with 21°C (28%) and 18°C (25.5%) as frontrunners amid model spread. This reflects uncertainty from variable cloud cover suppressing peaks, potential showers in the northeast flow across eastern New Zealand, and Wellington's maritime climate prone to rapid changes. Above the April average high of 16-17°C, outcomes differentiate on wind-driven temperature advection and shower timing, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing similar clustering. Daily updates through the weekend will refine probabilities as observations refine short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,143Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued late April 2, projects Wellington's highest temperature on April 6 at 19-20°C under partly cloudy skies with easterly winds, fueling trader consensus with 21°C (28%) and 18°C (25.5%) as frontrunners amid model spread. This reflects uncertainty from variable cloud cover suppressing peaks, potential showers in the northeast flow across eastern New Zealand, and Wellington's maritime climate prone to rapid changes. Above the April average high of 16-17°C, outcomes differentiate on wind-driven temperature advection and shower timing, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing similar clustering. Daily updates through the weekend will refine probabilities as observations refine short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,143Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast, issued late April 2, projects Wellington's highest temperature on April 6 at 19-20°C under partly cloudy skies with easterly winds, fueling trader consensus with 21°C (28%) and 18°C (25.5%) as frontrunners amid model spread. This reflects uncertainty from variable cloud cover suppressing peaks, potential showers in the northeast flow across eastern New Zealand, and Wellington's maritime climate prone to rapid changes. Above the April average high of 16-17°C, outcomes differentiate on wind-driven temperature advection and shower timing, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing similar clustering. Daily updates through the weekend will refine probabilities as observations refine short-range guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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