Latest Environment Canada forecasts project a high near 3°C for Toronto on April 6 under cloudy conditions with 30% chance of flurries or showers, following heavy weekend rainfall of 20-40 mm that has ushered in a cooler post-frontal air mass. However, Canadian GEM model runs and some ensemble guidance suggest slightly warmer peaks of 5-7°C, reflecting uncertainty in cold air advection depth versus potential boundary layer mixing over Lake Ontario. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these outcomes—6°C at 25%, 5°C at 19%, 7°C at 15.5%—due to model spread amid suppressed diurnal heating from persistent cloud cover and northerly winds. New updates from Environment Canada and global models like GFS/ECMWF expected April 5 could sharpen consensus; historical early April highs average 9°C but vary widely in transitional spring patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Toronto on April 6?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 6?
6°C 25%
5°C 19%
7°C 16%
3°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
1%
2°C
3%
3°C
11%
4°C
11%
5°C
19%
6°C
25%
7°C
16%
8°C
10%
9°C
6%
10°C or higher
3%
6°C 25%
5°C 19%
7°C 16%
3°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
0°C or below
$903 Vol.
<1%
1°C
$442 Vol.
1%
2°C
$336 Vol.
3%
3°C
$339 Vol.
11%
4°C
$508 Vol.
11%
5°C
$288 Vol.
19%
6°C
$466 Vol.
25%
7°C
$435 Vol.
16%
8°C
$376 Vol.
10%
9°C
$411 Vol.
6%
10°C or higher
$1,167 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Environment Canada forecasts project a high near 3°C for Toronto on April 6 under cloudy conditions with 30% chance of flurries or showers, following heavy weekend rainfall of 20-40 mm that has ushered in a cooler post-frontal air mass. However, Canadian GEM model runs and some ensemble guidance suggest slightly warmer peaks of 5-7°C, reflecting uncertainty in cold air advection depth versus potential boundary layer mixing over Lake Ontario. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these outcomes—6°C at 25%, 5°C at 19%, 7°C at 15.5%—due to model spread amid suppressed diurnal heating from persistent cloud cover and northerly winds. New updates from Environment Canada and global models like GFS/ECMWF expected April 5 could sharpen consensus; historical early April highs average 9°C but vary widely in transitional spring patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$5,672Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Environment Canada forecasts project a high near 3°C for Toronto on April 6 under cloudy conditions with 30% chance of flurries or showers, following heavy weekend rainfall of 20-40 mm that has ushered in a cooler post-frontal air mass. However, Canadian GEM model runs and some ensemble guidance suggest slightly warmer peaks of 5-7°C, reflecting uncertainty in cold air advection depth versus potential boundary layer mixing over Lake Ontario. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these outcomes—6°C at 25%, 5°C at 19%, 7°C at 15.5%—due to model spread amid suppressed diurnal heating from persistent cloud cover and northerly winds. New updates from Environment Canada and global models like GFS/ECMWF expected April 5 could sharpen consensus; historical early April highs average 9°C but vary widely in transitional spring patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,672Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Environment Canada forecasts project a high near 3°C for Toronto on April 6 under cloudy conditions with 30% chance of flurries or showers, following heavy weekend rainfall of 20-40 mm that has ushered in a cooler post-frontal air mass. However, Canadian GEM model runs and some ensemble guidance suggest slightly warmer peaks of 5-7°C, reflecting uncertainty in cold air advection depth versus potential boundary layer mixing over Lake Ontario. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these outcomes—6°C at 25%, 5°C at 19%, 7°C at 15.5%—due to model spread amid suppressed diurnal heating from persistent cloud cover and northerly winds. New updates from Environment Canada and global models like GFS/ECMWF expected April 5 could sharpen consensus; historical early April highs average 9°C but vary widely in transitional spring patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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