Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Houston high temperature of 82-83°F at 51.5% implied probability, closely tracking the National Weather Service's latest forecast for low-to-mid 80s today amid mostly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 10-15 mph, and a 30% chance of spotty showers. This reflects strong agreement across GFS and other numerical models depicting a warm, moist Gulf air mass under a mid-level ridge, fostering above-normal spring heating above Houston's April climatological average of 79°F. Recent observations show overnight lows near 72°F and morning cloudiness from yesterday's northern-area rain, potentially capping peaks if showers increase; however, breezy conditions aid mixing for robust daytime warming. Afternoon NWS updates and real-time observations at key sites like Hobby Airport will sharpen resolution before evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Houston on April 3?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 3?
82-83°F 52%
84-85°F 23%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 5.3%
$22,619 Vol.
$22,619 Vol.
3 avr. 2026
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
52%
84-85°F
23%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 52%
84-85°F 23%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 5.3%
$22,619 Vol.
$22,619 Vol.
3 avr. 2026
74-75°F
$1,616 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,586 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$1,589 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$1,713 Vol.
16%
82-83°F
$2,778 Vol.
52%
84-85°F
$1,857 Vol.
23%
86-87°F
$1,507 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$837 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$5,323 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$984 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Houston high temperature of 82-83°F at 51.5% implied probability, closely tracking the National Weather Service's latest forecast for low-to-mid 80s today amid mostly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 10-15 mph, and a 30% chance of spotty showers. This reflects strong agreement across GFS and other numerical models depicting a warm, moist Gulf air mass under a mid-level ridge, fostering above-normal spring heating above Houston's April climatological average of 79°F. Recent observations show overnight lows near 72°F and morning cloudiness from yesterday's northern-area rain, potentially capping peaks if showers increase; however, breezy conditions aid mixing for robust daytime warming. Afternoon NWS updates and real-time observations at key sites like Hobby Airport will sharpen resolution before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Volume
$22,619Date de fin
3 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Houston high temperature of 82-83°F at 51.5% implied probability, closely tracking the National Weather Service's latest forecast for low-to-mid 80s today amid mostly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 10-15 mph, and a 30% chance of spotty showers. This reflects strong agreement across GFS and other numerical models depicting a warm, moist Gulf air mass under a mid-level ridge, fostering above-normal spring heating above Houston's April climatological average of 79°F. Recent observations show overnight lows near 72°F and morning cloudiness from yesterday's northern-area rain, potentially capping peaks if showers increase; however, breezy conditions aid mixing for robust daytime warming. Afternoon NWS updates and real-time observations at key sites like Hobby Airport will sharpen resolution before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22,619Date de fin
3 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Houston high temperature of 82-83°F at 51.5% implied probability, closely tracking the National Weather Service's latest forecast for low-to-mid 80s today amid mostly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 10-15 mph, and a 30% chance of spotty showers. This reflects strong agreement across GFS and other numerical models depicting a warm, moist Gulf air mass under a mid-level ridge, fostering above-normal spring heating above Houston's April climatological average of 79°F. Recent observations show overnight lows near 72°F and morning cloudiness from yesterday's northern-area rain, potentially capping peaks if showers increase; however, breezy conditions aid mixing for robust daytime warming. Afternoon NWS updates and real-time observations at key sites like Hobby Airport will sharpen resolution before evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes