National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a high near 81-83°F on April 4 at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source, reflecting trader sentiment clustered around 80-81°F (38.5% implied probability) and 82-83°F (30.5%). This tight race stems from an approaching cold front from the west, introducing model uncertainty in cloud cover, isolated thunderstorms, and southerly winds at 10-15 mph that could either cap peaks with overcast skies or allow brief clearing for higher readings. Ensemble guidance from GFS and other models shows a 2-3°F spread, with historical April norms around 80°F providing context amid typical spring frontal variability. Watch for the 00Z model runs and morning NWS updates for potential shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Houston on April 4?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 4?
80-81°F 38%
82-83°F 30%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 avr. 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 38%
82-83°F 30%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 avr. 2026
71°F or below
$1,587 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$405 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$214 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$732 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$754 Vol.
16%
80-81°F
$433 Vol.
38%
82-83°F
$500 Vol.
30%
84-85°F
$303 Vol.
11%
86-87°F
$240 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$2,055 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$1,061 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a high near 81-83°F on April 4 at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source, reflecting trader sentiment clustered around 80-81°F (38.5% implied probability) and 82-83°F (30.5%). This tight race stems from an approaching cold front from the west, introducing model uncertainty in cloud cover, isolated thunderstorms, and southerly winds at 10-15 mph that could either cap peaks with overcast skies or allow brief clearing for higher readings. Ensemble guidance from GFS and other models shows a 2-3°F spread, with historical April norms around 80°F providing context amid typical spring frontal variability. Watch for the 00Z model runs and morning NWS updates for potential shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Volume
$8,271Date de fin
4 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a high near 81-83°F on April 4 at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source, reflecting trader sentiment clustered around 80-81°F (38.5% implied probability) and 82-83°F (30.5%). This tight race stems from an approaching cold front from the west, introducing model uncertainty in cloud cover, isolated thunderstorms, and southerly winds at 10-15 mph that could either cap peaks with overcast skies or allow brief clearing for higher readings. Ensemble guidance from GFS and other models shows a 2-3°F spread, with historical April norms around 80°F providing context amid typical spring frontal variability. Watch for the 00Z model runs and morning NWS updates for potential shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,271Date de fin
4 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a high near 81-83°F on April 4 at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source, reflecting trader sentiment clustered around 80-81°F (38.5% implied probability) and 82-83°F (30.5%). This tight race stems from an approaching cold front from the west, introducing model uncertainty in cloud cover, isolated thunderstorms, and southerly winds at 10-15 mph that could either cap peaks with overcast skies or allow brief clearing for higher readings. Ensemble guidance from GFS and other models shows a 2-3°F spread, with historical April norms around 80°F providing context amid typical spring frontal variability. Watch for the 00Z model runs and morning NWS updates for potential shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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