Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts and dynamical model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, projecting LaGuardia Airport highs of 62-67°F on April 3 amid moderating spring conditions following March's record warmth exceeding 80°F in Central Park. Persistent morning fog and overcast stratus clouds from a weak mid-level trough suppress solar heating and convective mixing, capping peaks slightly above the 57°F climatological normal, while light winds limit advection. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud breaks—GFS cooler at 62-63°F, ECMWF warmer toward 66-67°F—and coastal microclimate effects at LaGuardia. Hourly METAR observations will refine the peak as the day unfolds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in NYC on April 3?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 3?
62-63°F 23%
60-61°F 22%
64-65°F 21%
66-67°F 20%
$119,344 Vol.
$119,344 Vol.
3 avr. 2026
59°F or below
11%
60-61°F
22%
62-63°F
23%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
<1%
62-63°F 23%
60-61°F 22%
64-65°F 21%
66-67°F 20%
$119,344 Vol.
$119,344 Vol.
3 avr. 2026
59°F or below
$24,361 Vol.
11%
60-61°F
$9,786 Vol.
22%
62-63°F
$9,211 Vol.
23%
64-65°F
$9,043 Vol.
21%
66-67°F
$7,247 Vol.
20%
68-69°F
$10,917 Vol.
8%
70-71°F
$11,844 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$10,564 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$7,522 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$12,174 Vol.
1%
78°F or higher
$6,877 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts and dynamical model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, projecting LaGuardia Airport highs of 62-67°F on April 3 amid moderating spring conditions following March's record warmth exceeding 80°F in Central Park. Persistent morning fog and overcast stratus clouds from a weak mid-level trough suppress solar heating and convective mixing, capping peaks slightly above the 57°F climatological normal, while light winds limit advection. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud breaks—GFS cooler at 62-63°F, ECMWF warmer toward 66-67°F—and coastal microclimate effects at LaGuardia. Hourly METAR observations will refine the peak as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Volume
$119,344Date de fin
3 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts and dynamical model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, projecting LaGuardia Airport highs of 62-67°F on April 3 amid moderating spring conditions following March's record warmth exceeding 80°F in Central Park. Persistent morning fog and overcast stratus clouds from a weak mid-level trough suppress solar heating and convective mixing, capping peaks slightly above the 57°F climatological normal, while light winds limit advection. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud breaks—GFS cooler at 62-63°F, ECMWF warmer toward 66-67°F—and coastal microclimate effects at LaGuardia. Hourly METAR observations will refine the peak as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$119,344Date de fin
3 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts and dynamical model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, projecting LaGuardia Airport highs of 62-67°F on April 3 amid moderating spring conditions following March's record warmth exceeding 80°F in Central Park. Persistent morning fog and overcast stratus clouds from a weak mid-level trough suppress solar heating and convective mixing, capping peaks slightly above the 57°F climatological normal, while light winds limit advection. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud breaks—GFS cooler at 62-63°F, ECMWF warmer toward 66-67°F—and coastal microclimate effects at LaGuardia. Hourly METAR observations will refine the peak as the day unfolds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes