Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the wide spread in short-range forecast ensembles for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 5, with Finnish Meteorological Institute models projecting a maximum around 5°C amid variable southwest winds (2-7 m/s, gusts to 15 m/s) and precipitation chances up to 80%, allowing outcomes from 0°C to 9°C to trade at equal 25.5% implied probabilities while 10°C or higher lags at 13.5% due to climatological rarity in early April. Key differentiators include cloud cover limiting insolation, potential cold air advection from Arctic fronts, and timing of any light rain (up to 2.9 mm), all amplifying uncertainty typical of transitional spring synoptics where historical early-April highs average 4-6°C with a 3-4°C standard deviation. Watch FMI's next hourly update and ECMWF ensemble refresh for shifts ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Helsinki on April 5?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 5?
1°C 26%
2°C 26%
3°C 26%
4°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
0°C or below
14%
1°C
26%
2°C
26%
3°C
26%
4°C
26%
5°C
26%
6°C
26%
7°C
26%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C or higher
14%
1°C 26%
2°C 26%
3°C 26%
4°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
0°C or below
$0 Vol.
14%
1°C
$0 Vol.
26%
2°C
$0 Vol.
26%
3°C
$0 Vol.
26%
4°C
$0 Vol.
26%
5°C
$0 Vol.
26%
6°C
$0 Vol.
26%
7°C
$0 Vol.
26%
8°C
$0 Vol.
26%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C or higher
$5 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the wide spread in short-range forecast ensembles for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 5, with Finnish Meteorological Institute models projecting a maximum around 5°C amid variable southwest winds (2-7 m/s, gusts to 15 m/s) and precipitation chances up to 80%, allowing outcomes from 0°C to 9°C to trade at equal 25.5% implied probabilities while 10°C or higher lags at 13.5% due to climatological rarity in early April. Key differentiators include cloud cover limiting insolation, potential cold air advection from Arctic fronts, and timing of any light rain (up to 2.9 mm), all amplifying uncertainty typical of transitional spring synoptics where historical early-April highs average 4-6°C with a 3-4°C standard deviation. Watch FMI's next hourly update and ECMWF ensemble refresh for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 9:09 PM ET
Volume
$5Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 9:09 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the wide spread in short-range forecast ensembles for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 5, with Finnish Meteorological Institute models projecting a maximum around 5°C amid variable southwest winds (2-7 m/s, gusts to 15 m/s) and precipitation chances up to 80%, allowing outcomes from 0°C to 9°C to trade at equal 25.5% implied probabilities while 10°C or higher lags at 13.5% due to climatological rarity in early April. Key differentiators include cloud cover limiting insolation, potential cold air advection from Arctic fronts, and timing of any light rain (up to 2.9 mm), all amplifying uncertainty typical of transitional spring synoptics where historical early-April highs average 4-6°C with a 3-4°C standard deviation. Watch FMI's next hourly update and ECMWF ensemble refresh for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 9:09 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the wide spread in short-range forecast ensembles for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 5, with Finnish Meteorological Institute models projecting a maximum around 5°C amid variable southwest winds (2-7 m/s, gusts to 15 m/s) and precipitation chances up to 80%, allowing outcomes from 0°C to 9°C to trade at equal 25.5% implied probabilities while 10°C or higher lags at 13.5% due to climatological rarity in early April. Key differentiators include cloud cover limiting insolation, potential cold air advection from Arctic fronts, and timing of any light rain (up to 2.9 mm), all amplifying uncertainty typical of transitional spring synoptics where historical early-April highs average 4-6°C with a 3-4°C standard deviation. Watch FMI's next hourly update and ECMWF ensemble refresh for shifts ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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