Latest short-range weather forecasts from services including AccuWeather and global models project a daytime high near 28°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution station—under a mix of sun and clouds with moderate southeasterly winds and high humidity around 80-90%, positioning that outcome at 43.5% trader consensus. This reflects a slight warm bias above early-April climatological averages of 26°C, driven by a persistent subtropical ridge suppressing cooler air intrusions, as seen in yesterday's 27°C peak amid passing showers. Probabilities cluster tightly around 27-29°C due to model spread on afternoon cloudiness and potential isolated thunderstorms, with 30°C or higher at just 7.5% given historical rarity without stronger heating. Monitor China Meteorological Administration hourly observations through evening for shifts as solar insolation peaks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 3?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 3?
28°C 45%
29°C 31%
27°C 26%
30°C or higher 4.5%
$70,378 Vol.
$70,378 Vol.
3 avr. 2026
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
26%
28°C
45%
29°C
31%
30°C or higher
4%
28°C 45%
29°C 31%
27°C 26%
30°C or higher 4.5%
$70,378 Vol.
$70,378 Vol.
3 avr. 2026
25°C
$6,733 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$15,421 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,354 Vol.
26%
28°C
$2,942 Vol.
45%
29°C
$3,765 Vol.
31%
30°C or higher
$11,959 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range weather forecasts from services including AccuWeather and global models project a daytime high near 28°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution station—under a mix of sun and clouds with moderate southeasterly winds and high humidity around 80-90%, positioning that outcome at 43.5% trader consensus. This reflects a slight warm bias above early-April climatological averages of 26°C, driven by a persistent subtropical ridge suppressing cooler air intrusions, as seen in yesterday's 27°C peak amid passing showers. Probabilities cluster tightly around 27-29°C due to model spread on afternoon cloudiness and potential isolated thunderstorms, with 30°C or higher at just 7.5% given historical rarity without stronger heating. Monitor China Meteorological Administration hourly observations through evening for shifts as solar insolation peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Volume
$70,378Date de fin
3 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range weather forecasts from services including AccuWeather and global models project a daytime high near 28°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution station—under a mix of sun and clouds with moderate southeasterly winds and high humidity around 80-90%, positioning that outcome at 43.5% trader consensus. This reflects a slight warm bias above early-April climatological averages of 26°C, driven by a persistent subtropical ridge suppressing cooler air intrusions, as seen in yesterday's 27°C peak amid passing showers. Probabilities cluster tightly around 27-29°C due to model spread on afternoon cloudiness and potential isolated thunderstorms, with 30°C or higher at just 7.5% given historical rarity without stronger heating. Monitor China Meteorological Administration hourly observations through evening for shifts as solar insolation peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$70,378Date de fin
3 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
Latest short-range weather forecasts from services including AccuWeather and global models project a daytime high near 28°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution station—under a mix of sun and clouds with moderate southeasterly winds and high humidity around 80-90%, positioning that outcome at 43.5% trader consensus. This reflects a slight warm bias above early-April climatological averages of 26°C, driven by a persistent subtropical ridge suppressing cooler air intrusions, as seen in yesterday's 27°C peak amid passing showers. Probabilities cluster tightly around 27-29°C due to model spread on afternoon cloudiness and potential isolated thunderstorms, with 30°C or higher at just 7.5% given historical rarity without stronger heating. Monitor China Meteorological Administration hourly observations through evening for shifts as solar insolation peaks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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