Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and ECMWF model runs forecasting Houston's highest temperature on April 5 at 68-71°F, below the early April climatological average of 78°F at Intercontinental Airport, driven by a cold front arriving Saturday evening with scattered showers and thunderstorms. The narrow lead for 70-71°F (24.5%) over 68-69°F (21.0%) stems from lingering post-frontal cloud cover and possible light precipitation Sunday, tempering highs amid breezy northerly winds and cold air advection; faster clearing or weaker frontal effects could push toward 72-75°F. Recent model updates show agreement on cooling after midweek warmth, with new NWS advisories and Sunday morning soundings key to refining odds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Houston on April 5?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 5?
70-71°F 25%
68-69°F 21%
72-73°F 19%
74-75°F 16%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
16%
76°F or higher
13%
70-71°F 25%
68-69°F 21%
72-73°F 19%
74-75°F 16%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
16%
76°F or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 6:40 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and ECMWF model runs forecasting Houston's highest temperature on April 5 at 68-71°F, below the early April climatological average of 78°F at Intercontinental Airport, driven by a cold front arriving Saturday evening with scattered showers and thunderstorms. The narrow lead for 70-71°F (24.5%) over 68-69°F (21.0%) stems from lingering post-frontal cloud cover and possible light precipitation Sunday, tempering highs amid breezy northerly winds and cold air advection; faster clearing or weaker frontal effects could push toward 72-75°F. Recent model updates show agreement on cooling after midweek warmth, with new NWS advisories and Sunday morning soundings key to refining odds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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