Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 14°C maximum temperature at Munich Airport station today, with an 82.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observational data showing 11°C at midday under mild westerly winds and partial clearing skies. Recent short-range ECMWF and DWD model runs over the past 24 hours have converged on this peak, reflecting a shallow trough yielding highs near early April climatological averages of 11–13°C, up from broader prior spreads of 8–14°C amid oscillating forecasts. A 14.1% chance lingers for 15°C or higher if insolation strengthens, while lower outcomes recede as morning temperatures already surpass 12°C thresholds. Hourly METAR updates from the airport will provide final nowcasting clarity before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Munich on April 3?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 3?
14°C 95.4%
15°C or higher 5.7%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$93,891 Vol.
$93,891 Vol.
3 avr. 2026
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
95%
15°C or higher
6%
14°C 95.4%
15°C or higher 5.7%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$93,891 Vol.
$93,891 Vol.
3 avr. 2026
12°C
$20,493 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$20,468 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$8,913 Vol.
95%
15°C or higher
$10,925 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 14°C maximum temperature at Munich Airport station today, with an 82.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observational data showing 11°C at midday under mild westerly winds and partial clearing skies. Recent short-range ECMWF and DWD model runs over the past 24 hours have converged on this peak, reflecting a shallow trough yielding highs near early April climatological averages of 11–13°C, up from broader prior spreads of 8–14°C amid oscillating forecasts. A 14.1% chance lingers for 15°C or higher if insolation strengthens, while lower outcomes recede as morning temperatures already surpass 12°C thresholds. Hourly METAR updates from the airport will provide final nowcasting clarity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volume
$93,891Date de fin
3 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 3:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 14°C maximum temperature at Munich Airport station today, with an 82.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observational data showing 11°C at midday under mild westerly winds and partial clearing skies. Recent short-range ECMWF and DWD model runs over the past 24 hours have converged on this peak, reflecting a shallow trough yielding highs near early April climatological averages of 11–13°C, up from broader prior spreads of 8–14°C amid oscillating forecasts. A 14.1% chance lingers for 15°C or higher if insolation strengthens, while lower outcomes recede as morning temperatures already surpass 12°C thresholds. Hourly METAR updates from the airport will provide final nowcasting clarity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$93,891Date de fin
3 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 3:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 14°C maximum temperature at Munich Airport station today, with an 82.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observational data showing 11°C at midday under mild westerly winds and partial clearing skies. Recent short-range ECMWF and DWD model runs over the past 24 hours have converged on this peak, reflecting a shallow trough yielding highs near early April climatological averages of 11–13°C, up from broader prior spreads of 8–14°C amid oscillating forecasts. A 14.1% chance lingers for 15°C or higher if insolation strengthens, while lower outcomes recede as morning temperatures already surpass 12°C thresholds. Hourly METAR updates from the airport will provide final nowcasting clarity before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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