Latest short-range forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), reflected on platforms like wetter.com, project Munich's highest temperature on April 4 at around 11°C amid persistent light rain, strong overcast skies, and 90% precipitation probability, capping daytime heating despite mild southwest winds at 10-11 km/h. This drives trader consensus toward 13°C (35% implied probability) and 12-14°C cluster (83% combined), as models like ECMWF and GFS show 1-2°C divergence from partial cloud breaks or delayed rain onset allowing brief afternoon warming—common in early April's variable spring patterns averaging 11-13°C at Munich Airport station. High uncertainty stems from cloud cover variability and frontal timing; persistent showers favor 11-12°C, while sunnier intervals boost 14°C odds. DWD hourly updates expected overnight could sharpen resolution before observations begin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Munich on April 4?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 4?
13°C 39%
12°C 28%
14°C 24%
11°C 8.7%
$19,608 Vol.
$19,608 Vol.
9°C or below
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
9%
12°C
28%
13°C
39%
14°C
24%
15°C
5%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 39%
12°C 28%
14°C 24%
11°C 8.7%
$19,608 Vol.
$19,608 Vol.
9°C or below
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
9%
12°C
28%
13°C
39%
14°C
24%
15°C
5%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), reflected on platforms like wetter.com, project Munich's highest temperature on April 4 at around 11°C amid persistent light rain, strong overcast skies, and 90% precipitation probability, capping daytime heating despite mild southwest winds at 10-11 km/h. This drives trader consensus toward 13°C (35% implied probability) and 12-14°C cluster (83% combined), as models like ECMWF and GFS show 1-2°C divergence from partial cloud breaks or delayed rain onset allowing brief afternoon warming—common in early April's variable spring patterns averaging 11-13°C at Munich Airport station. High uncertainty stems from cloud cover variability and frontal timing; persistent showers favor 11-12°C, while sunnier intervals boost 14°C odds. DWD hourly updates expected overnight could sharpen resolution before observations begin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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