Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (27%) and 22°C (28.5%) for Munich's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow into southern Germany, with daytime highs of 21-23°C under partly sunny, windy conditions at Munich Airport station. This marks a sharp warming from earlier overcast days near 13°C, as southerly winds enhance boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation. Differentiating factors include model discrepancies on cloudiness—ECMWF leans slightly cooler with more cover, while GFS hints at clearer skies pushing toward 23°C—against early April climatological norms of 12-14°C. Updated 12Z runs from both models due today may shift probabilities further.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Munich on April 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 5?
22°C 29%
21°C 27%
23°C 18%
20°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
9%
20°C
14%
21°C
27%
22°C
29%
23°C
18%
24°C or higher
9%
22°C 29%
21°C 27%
23°C 18%
20°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
14°C or below
$733 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$432 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$306 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$299 Vol.
2%
18°C
$623 Vol.
2%
19°C
$761 Vol.
9%
20°C
$835 Vol.
14%
21°C
$756 Vol.
27%
22°C
$1,319 Vol.
29%
23°C
$619 Vol.
18%
24°C or higher
$575 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (27%) and 22°C (28.5%) for Munich's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow into southern Germany, with daytime highs of 21-23°C under partly sunny, windy conditions at Munich Airport station. This marks a sharp warming from earlier overcast days near 13°C, as southerly winds enhance boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation. Differentiating factors include model discrepancies on cloudiness—ECMWF leans slightly cooler with more cover, while GFS hints at clearer skies pushing toward 23°C—against early April climatological norms of 12-14°C. Updated 12Z runs from both models due today may shift probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$7,250Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (27%) and 22°C (28.5%) for Munich's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow into southern Germany, with daytime highs of 21-23°C under partly sunny, windy conditions at Munich Airport station. This marks a sharp warming from earlier overcast days near 13°C, as southerly winds enhance boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation. Differentiating factors include model discrepancies on cloudiness—ECMWF leans slightly cooler with more cover, while GFS hints at clearer skies pushing toward 23°C—against early April climatological norms of 12-14°C. Updated 12Z runs from both models due today may shift probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$7,250Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (27%) and 22°C (28.5%) for Munich's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow into southern Germany, with daytime highs of 21-23°C under partly sunny, windy conditions at Munich Airport station. This marks a sharp warming from earlier overcast days near 13°C, as southerly winds enhance boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation. Differentiating factors include model discrepancies on cloudiness—ECMWF leans slightly cooler with more cover, while GFS hints at clearer skies pushing toward 23°C—against early April climatological norms of 12-14°C. Updated 12Z runs from both models due today may shift probabilities further.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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