Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Munich Airport's highest temperature on April 6 clustering around 13-17°C, mirroring the tight market-implied odds where 14°C leads at 29.5% trader consensus. This spread stems from uncertainty in a mild Atlantic air mass advection versus potential cloud cover from a weak frontal boundary, with partial clearing possibly boosting insolation-driven highs toward 16-17°C, while overcast skies cap at 13-14°C. Early April climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 12-14°C amid spring variability, though recent decades show a slight warming trend. Daily model updates from DWD and ECMWF, including 00Z/12Z runs, will likely sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Munich on April 6?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 6?
14°C 29%
15°C 21%
16°C 19%
13°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
10°C ou moins
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
18%
14°C
29%
15°C
21%
16°C
19%
17°C
14%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C or higher
1%
14°C 29%
15°C 21%
16°C 19%
13°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
10°C ou moins
$1,226 Vol.
1%
11°C
$1,286 Vol.
1%
12°C
$383 Vol.
3%
13°C
$348 Vol.
18%
14°C
$278 Vol.
29%
15°C
$327 Vol.
21%
16°C
$306 Vol.
19%
17°C
$195 Vol.
14%
18°C
$245 Vol.
4%
19°C
$241 Vol.
4%
20°C or higher
$235 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Munich Airport's highest temperature on April 6 clustering around 13-17°C, mirroring the tight market-implied odds where 14°C leads at 29.5% trader consensus. This spread stems from uncertainty in a mild Atlantic air mass advection versus potential cloud cover from a weak frontal boundary, with partial clearing possibly boosting insolation-driven highs toward 16-17°C, while overcast skies cap at 13-14°C. Early April climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 12-14°C amid spring variability, though recent decades show a slight warming trend. Daily model updates from DWD and ECMWF, including 00Z/12Z runs, will likely sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$5,071Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Munich Airport's highest temperature on April 6 clustering around 13-17°C, mirroring the tight market-implied odds where 14°C leads at 29.5% trader consensus. This spread stems from uncertainty in a mild Atlantic air mass advection versus potential cloud cover from a weak frontal boundary, with partial clearing possibly boosting insolation-driven highs toward 16-17°C, while overcast skies cap at 13-14°C. Early April climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 12-14°C amid spring variability, though recent decades show a slight warming trend. Daily model updates from DWD and ECMWF, including 00Z/12Z runs, will likely sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,071Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Munich Airport's highest temperature on April 6 clustering around 13-17°C, mirroring the tight market-implied odds where 14°C leads at 29.5% trader consensus. This spread stems from uncertainty in a mild Atlantic air mass advection versus potential cloud cover from a weak frontal boundary, with partial clearing possibly boosting insolation-driven highs toward 16-17°C, while overcast skies cap at 13-14°C. Early April climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 12-14°C amid spring variability, though recent decades show a slight warming trend. Daily model updates from DWD and ECMWF, including 00Z/12Z runs, will likely sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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