Trader sentiment on Moscow's highest temperature April 7 remains evenly split across outcomes, mirroring the wide spread in ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Roshydromet, which project daytime highs from 7–17°C amid uncertainty in a mild southerly airflow pattern. Recent record warmth, including 17.5°C on March 31 and current April 3 highs near 15°C, supports above-climatological averages of 8–10°C for early April per Roshydromet records, but incoming cloudiness, possible showers, and frontal timing introduce variability that differentiates lower (3–6°C) from higher (12°C+) bins. Model consensus hinges on ridge persistence versus overcast suppression of insolation; daily 00Z/12Z updates and agency observations will sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution via official Vnukovo Airport measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Moscow on April 7?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 7?
6°C 17%
7°C 17%
8°C 17%
10°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 avr. 2026
3°C or below
3%
4°C
12%
5°C
15%
6°C
17%
7°C
17%
8°C
17%
9°C
8%
10°C
17%
11°C
15%
12°C
12%
13°C or higher
10%
6°C 17%
7°C 17%
8°C 17%
10°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 avr. 2026
3°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
4°C
$0 Vol.
12%
5°C
$0 Vol.
15%
6°C
$0 Vol.
17%
7°C
$0 Vol.
17%
8°C
$0 Vol.
17%
9°C
$0 Vol.
8%
10°C
$0 Vol.
17%
11°C
$0 Vol.
15%
12°C
$0 Vol.
12%
13°C or higher
$10 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Moscow's highest temperature April 7 remains evenly split across outcomes, mirroring the wide spread in ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Roshydromet, which project daytime highs from 7–17°C amid uncertainty in a mild southerly airflow pattern. Recent record warmth, including 17.5°C on March 31 and current April 3 highs near 15°C, supports above-climatological averages of 8–10°C for early April per Roshydromet records, but incoming cloudiness, possible showers, and frontal timing introduce variability that differentiates lower (3–6°C) from higher (12°C+) bins. Model consensus hinges on ridge persistence versus overcast suppression of insolation; daily 00Z/12Z updates and agency observations will sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution via official Vnukovo Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 3, 2026, 6:22 AM ET
Volume
$10Date de fin
7 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 6:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Moscow's highest temperature April 7 remains evenly split across outcomes, mirroring the wide spread in ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Roshydromet, which project daytime highs from 7–17°C amid uncertainty in a mild southerly airflow pattern. Recent record warmth, including 17.5°C on March 31 and current April 3 highs near 15°C, supports above-climatological averages of 8–10°C for early April per Roshydromet records, but incoming cloudiness, possible showers, and frontal timing introduce variability that differentiates lower (3–6°C) from higher (12°C+) bins. Model consensus hinges on ridge persistence versus overcast suppression of insolation; daily 00Z/12Z updates and agency observations will sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution via official Vnukovo Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10Date de fin
7 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 6:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Moscow's highest temperature April 7 remains evenly split across outcomes, mirroring the wide spread in ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Roshydromet, which project daytime highs from 7–17°C amid uncertainty in a mild southerly airflow pattern. Recent record warmth, including 17.5°C on March 31 and current April 3 highs near 15°C, supports above-climatological averages of 8–10°C for early April per Roshydromet records, but incoming cloudiness, possible showers, and frontal timing introduce variability that differentiates lower (3–6°C) from higher (12°C+) bins. Model consensus hinges on ridge persistence versus overcast suppression of insolation; daily 00Z/12Z updates and agency observations will sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution via official Vnukovo Airport measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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