Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas's high temperature on April 4, with model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF converging on 70-75°F amid an approaching cold front. Leading probabilities for 70-71°F (26%), 72-73°F (25%), and 74-75°F (23%) stem from yesterday's (April 2) Area Forecast Discussion highlighting increasing clouds, 50% shower chances, and potential thunderstorms Saturday, capping insolation after today's warm 80°F readings. Key differentiators include frontal timing—earlier arrival boosts cloud cover and lowers highs toward 70s, while delays allow more midday heating—against the April climatological normal of 74°F. Watch for this afternoon's forecast updates resolving near-term model shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Dallas on April 4?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 4?
70-71°F 27.9%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 23%
68-69°F 9.2%
$21,979 Vol.
$21,979 Vol.
67°F or below
5%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 27.9%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 23%
68-69°F 9.2%
$21,979 Vol.
$21,979 Vol.
67°F or below
5%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas's high temperature on April 4, with model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF converging on 70-75°F amid an approaching cold front. Leading probabilities for 70-71°F (26%), 72-73°F (25%), and 74-75°F (23%) stem from yesterday's (April 2) Area Forecast Discussion highlighting increasing clouds, 50% shower chances, and potential thunderstorms Saturday, capping insolation after today's warm 80°F readings. Key differentiators include frontal timing—earlier arrival boosts cloud cover and lowers highs toward 70s, while delays allow more midday heating—against the April climatological normal of 74°F. Watch for this afternoon's forecast updates resolving near-term model shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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