Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts indicating highs of 66–73°F for Dallas on April 5, driven by a cold front passage Friday night into Saturday that ends midweek warmth (near 84°F highs April 3) and introduces cooler post-frontal air masses. Upper-level troughing enhances shower and thunderstorm activity through early Saturday, limiting diurnal heating and favoring partly to mostly cloudy skies Sunday with light northeast winds around 10 mph. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show tight spread but diverge slightly on cloud clearance timing and boundary layer mixing, differentiating 68–71°F leaders from adjacent bins—faster clearing could push toward 72°F, persistent overcast toward 66°F. New 12Z model runs expected midday April 4 may sharpen resolution criteria based on official DFW observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Dallas on April 5?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 5?
70-71°F 24%
72-73°F 19%
66-67°F 17%
68-69°F 17%
$10,476 Vol.
$10,476 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
17%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
19%
74°F or higher
10%
70-71°F 24%
72-73°F 19%
66-67°F 17%
68-69°F 17%
$10,476 Vol.
$10,476 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
17%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
19%
74°F or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts indicating highs of 66–73°F for Dallas on April 5, driven by a cold front passage Friday night into Saturday that ends midweek warmth (near 84°F highs April 3) and introduces cooler post-frontal air masses. Upper-level troughing enhances shower and thunderstorm activity through early Saturday, limiting diurnal heating and favoring partly to mostly cloudy skies Sunday with light northeast winds around 10 mph. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show tight spread but diverge slightly on cloud clearance timing and boundary layer mixing, differentiating 68–71°F leaders from adjacent bins—faster clearing could push toward 72°F, persistent overcast toward 66°F. New 12Z model runs expected midday April 4 may sharpen resolution criteria based on official DFW observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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