Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Dallas high of 82-83°F at 50% implied probability, aligned with the latest National Weather Service guidance for the Dallas-Fort Worth area showing peaks in the low-to-mid 80s amid south-southeasterly winds of 10-20 mph fostering warm advection from an upper-level ridge. Yesterday's observed high of 84°F at DFW Airport sets a recent benchmark, but building cloudiness and a 40% chance of showers/thunderstorms after 4 p.m. today—per NWS short-term outlooks—could limit diurnal heating and cap intensities below earlier model runs near 85°F. April climatological normals hover around 76°F, with the record-warm March (average 67.6°F) reinforcing above-normal expectations; monitor hourly KDFW observations for resolution, as precip timing remains the key uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Dallas on April 3?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 3?
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 21%
80-81°F 21%
86-87°F 5.8%
$39,658 Vol.
$39,658 Vol.
3 avr. 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 21%
80-81°F 21%
86-87°F 5.8%
$39,658 Vol.
$39,658 Vol.
3 avr. 2026
75°F or below
$7,024 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$4,608 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$2,580 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$2,671 Vol.
21%
82-83°F
$4,767 Vol.
41%
84-85°F
$4,313 Vol.
21%
86-87°F
$3,904 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$3,936 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$2,675 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$2,070 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$1,443 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Dallas high of 82-83°F at 50% implied probability, aligned with the latest National Weather Service guidance for the Dallas-Fort Worth area showing peaks in the low-to-mid 80s amid south-southeasterly winds of 10-20 mph fostering warm advection from an upper-level ridge. Yesterday's observed high of 84°F at DFW Airport sets a recent benchmark, but building cloudiness and a 40% chance of showers/thunderstorms after 4 p.m. today—per NWS short-term outlooks—could limit diurnal heating and cap intensities below earlier model runs near 85°F. April climatological normals hover around 76°F, with the record-warm March (average 67.6°F) reinforcing above-normal expectations; monitor hourly KDFW observations for resolution, as precip timing remains the key uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Volume
$39,658Date de fin
3 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Dallas high of 82-83°F at 50% implied probability, aligned with the latest National Weather Service guidance for the Dallas-Fort Worth area showing peaks in the low-to-mid 80s amid south-southeasterly winds of 10-20 mph fostering warm advection from an upper-level ridge. Yesterday's observed high of 84°F at DFW Airport sets a recent benchmark, but building cloudiness and a 40% chance of showers/thunderstorms after 4 p.m. today—per NWS short-term outlooks—could limit diurnal heating and cap intensities below earlier model runs near 85°F. April climatological normals hover around 76°F, with the record-warm March (average 67.6°F) reinforcing above-normal expectations; monitor hourly KDFW observations for resolution, as precip timing remains the key uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$39,658Date de fin
3 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Dallas high of 82-83°F at 50% implied probability, aligned with the latest National Weather Service guidance for the Dallas-Fort Worth area showing peaks in the low-to-mid 80s amid south-southeasterly winds of 10-20 mph fostering warm advection from an upper-level ridge. Yesterday's observed high of 84°F at DFW Airport sets a recent benchmark, but building cloudiness and a 40% chance of showers/thunderstorms after 4 p.m. today—per NWS short-term outlooks—could limit diurnal heating and cap intensities below earlier model runs near 85°F. April climatological normals hover around 76°F, with the record-warm March (average 67.6°F) reinforcing above-normal expectations; monitor hourly KDFW observations for resolution, as precip timing remains the key uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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