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Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 5?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 5?

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23°C 24%

24°C 23%

25°C 15%

26°C 13.1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

$16,267 Vol.

23°C 24%

24°C 23%

25°C 15%

26°C 13.1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

$16,267 Vol.

18°C or below

$2,240 Vol.

1%

19°C

$1,658 Vol.

1%

20°C

$1,324 Vol.

3%

21°C

$853 Vol.

9%

22°C

$1,158 Vol.

13%

23°C

$1,357 Vol.

24%

24°C

$1,546 Vol.

23%

25°C

$1,369 Vol.

15%

26°C

$2,158 Vol.

13%

27°C

$1,196 Vol.

4%

28°C or higher

$1,432 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance, updated at 8:00 AM on April 3, projects Shanghai's highest temperature on April 5 at 23°C under overcast skies, aligning with the market's leading trader consensus where 23°C (24%) edges 24°C (22.5%) and 25°C (17.5%). Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show a tight spread around 23-25°C, driven by persistent low-level cloud cover from a lingering frontal system over the East China Sea, which caps solar heating despite mild southeasterly flow. Differentiation hinges on potential breaks in overcast conditions allowing extra insolation for 24-25°C, versus thicker clouds holding at 22-23°C; historical April highs average 18-20°C, but current synoptic patterns favor the warmer side. Traders await afternoon CMA updates and evening model runs for resolution clarity.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,267
Date de fin
5 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance, updated at 8:00 AM on April 3, projects Shanghai's highest temperature on April 5 at 23°C under overcast skies, aligning with the market's leading trader consensus where 23°C (24%) edges 24°C (22.5%) and 25°C (17.5%). Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show a tight spread around 23-25°C, driven by persistent low-level cloud cover from a lingering frontal system over the East China Sea, which caps solar heating despite mild southeasterly flow. Differentiation hinges on potential breaks in overcast conditions allowing extra insolation for 24-25°C, versus thicker clouds holding at 22-23°C; historical April highs average 18-20°C, but current synoptic patterns favor the warmer side. Traders await afternoon CMA updates and evening model runs for resolution clarity.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,267
Date de fin
5 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 5? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 23°C » à 24%, suivi de « 24°C » à 23%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 24¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 24% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 5? » a généré $16.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 1, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 5? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 5? » est « 23°C » à 24%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 24% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 24°C » à 23%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 5? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.