Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 86-87°F (33.5%) and 84-85°F (32.5%) for Austin's highest temperature today, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of near 88°F amid decreasing clouds and breezy southeast winds of 10-20 mph sustaining a warm, humid air mass following March 2026's record heat. Key differentiators include the timing of morning cloud clearance during peak afternoon heating (2-5 p.m. CDT), with lingering overcast potentially capping highs at 84-85°F via reduced insolation, while faster clearing and boundary-layer mixing favor 86-87°F or slightly higher. Model ensembles like GFS show similar clustering around mid-to-upper 80s, but inherent short-range uncertainty persists; monitor Austin-Bergstrom (KAUS) observations for resolution as the day unfolds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Austin on April 3?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 3?
86-87°F 34%
84-85°F 32%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 10%
$18,316 Vol.
$18,316 Vol.
3 avr. 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
2%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 34%
84-85°F 32%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 10%
$18,316 Vol.
$18,316 Vol.
3 avr. 2026
75°F or below
$2,949 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$3,099 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$648 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$974 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$884 Vol.
10%
84-85°F
$989 Vol.
32%
86-87°F
$2,083 Vol.
34%
88-89°F
$2,464 Vol.
16%
90-91°F
$1,493 Vol.
4%
92-93°F
$1,325 Vol.
2%
94°F or higher
$1,419 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 86-87°F (33.5%) and 84-85°F (32.5%) for Austin's highest temperature today, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of near 88°F amid decreasing clouds and breezy southeast winds of 10-20 mph sustaining a warm, humid air mass following March 2026's record heat. Key differentiators include the timing of morning cloud clearance during peak afternoon heating (2-5 p.m. CDT), with lingering overcast potentially capping highs at 84-85°F via reduced insolation, while faster clearing and boundary-layer mixing favor 86-87°F or slightly higher. Model ensembles like GFS show similar clustering around mid-to-upper 80s, but inherent short-range uncertainty persists; monitor Austin-Bergstrom (KAUS) observations for resolution as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
Volume
$18,316Date de fin
3 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 86-87°F (33.5%) and 84-85°F (32.5%) for Austin's highest temperature today, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of near 88°F amid decreasing clouds and breezy southeast winds of 10-20 mph sustaining a warm, humid air mass following March 2026's record heat. Key differentiators include the timing of morning cloud clearance during peak afternoon heating (2-5 p.m. CDT), with lingering overcast potentially capping highs at 84-85°F via reduced insolation, while faster clearing and boundary-layer mixing favor 86-87°F or slightly higher. Model ensembles like GFS show similar clustering around mid-to-upper 80s, but inherent short-range uncertainty persists; monitor Austin-Bergstrom (KAUS) observations for resolution as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,316Date de fin
3 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 86-87°F (33.5%) and 84-85°F (32.5%) for Austin's highest temperature today, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of near 88°F amid decreasing clouds and breezy southeast winds of 10-20 mph sustaining a warm, humid air mass following March 2026's record heat. Key differentiators include the timing of morning cloud clearance during peak afternoon heating (2-5 p.m. CDT), with lingering overcast potentially capping highs at 84-85°F via reduced insolation, while faster clearing and boundary-layer mixing favor 86-87°F or slightly higher. Model ensembles like GFS show similar clustering around mid-to-upper 80s, but inherent short-range uncertainty persists; monitor Austin-Bergstrom (KAUS) observations for resolution as the day unfolds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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