Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to 86-87°F as Austin's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, backed by official observational data from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport's automated surface observing system (ASOS), recording a peak of 86°F around 3:51 p.m. local time per Weather Underground records—the market's resolution source. This aligns with National Weather Service preliminary reports amid persistent high pressure and light southerly winds fostering daytime heating after a record-hot March, where upper-80s forecasts from NOAA models held firm. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare quality-control revisions in final NWS climatological summaries, potentially reclassifying the max if sensor anomalies are detected; traders await those updates for confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Austin on April 2?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 2?
86-87°F 100.0%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$71,548 Vol.
$71,548 Vol.
86-87°F
100%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 100.0%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$71,548 Vol.
$71,548 Vol.
86-87°F
100%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to 86-87°F as Austin's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, backed by official observational data from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport's automated surface observing system (ASOS), recording a peak of 86°F around 3:51 p.m. local time per Weather Underground records—the market's resolution source. This aligns with National Weather Service preliminary reports amid persistent high pressure and light southerly winds fostering daytime heating after a record-hot March, where upper-80s forecasts from NOAA models held firm. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare quality-control revisions in final NWS climatological summaries, potentially reclassifying the max if sensor anomalies are detected; traders await those updates for confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes