Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate a high temperature on April 6 most likely in the 70-75°F range, aligning with closely matched market-implied probabilities around 70-71°F (23%), 72-73°F (22%), and 74-75°F (18%), as ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows consensus on subdued highs amid persistent low-level moisture and 30-50% shower chances. Record-warm March 2026 conditions have given way to a pattern shift with weak upper troughing introducing cloud cover and light precipitation risks, suppressing peak diurnal heating below climatological early-April norms of 77-80°F. Key differentiators include timing of any morning showers—early clearance favors upper-70s, while lingering overcast caps at low-70s—against historical analogs of similar humid setups. New model runs and NWS updates expected daily through Sunday will refine boundary layer recovery and trader sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Austin on April 6?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 6?
70-71°F 24%
72-73°F 22%
74-75°F 18%
76-77°F 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
15%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
10%
80°F or higher
2%
70-71°F 24%
72-73°F 22%
74-75°F 18%
76-77°F 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
61°F or below
$573 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$584 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$290 Vol.
3%
66-67°F
$358 Vol.
4%
68-69°F
$284 Vol.
15%
70-71°F
$282 Vol.
24%
72-73°F
$335 Vol.
22%
74-75°F
$311 Vol.
18%
76-77°F
$238 Vol.
15%
78-79°F
$213 Vol.
10%
80°F or higher
$291 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate a high temperature on April 6 most likely in the 70-75°F range, aligning with closely matched market-implied probabilities around 70-71°F (23%), 72-73°F (22%), and 74-75°F (18%), as ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows consensus on subdued highs amid persistent low-level moisture and 30-50% shower chances. Record-warm March 2026 conditions have given way to a pattern shift with weak upper troughing introducing cloud cover and light precipitation risks, suppressing peak diurnal heating below climatological early-April norms of 77-80°F. Key differentiators include timing of any morning showers—early clearance favors upper-70s, while lingering overcast caps at low-70s—against historical analogs of similar humid setups. New model runs and NWS updates expected daily through Sunday will refine boundary layer recovery and trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,758Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate a high temperature on April 6 most likely in the 70-75°F range, aligning with closely matched market-implied probabilities around 70-71°F (23%), 72-73°F (22%), and 74-75°F (18%), as ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows consensus on subdued highs amid persistent low-level moisture and 30-50% shower chances. Record-warm March 2026 conditions have given way to a pattern shift with weak upper troughing introducing cloud cover and light precipitation risks, suppressing peak diurnal heating below climatological early-April norms of 77-80°F. Key differentiators include timing of any morning showers—early clearance favors upper-70s, while lingering overcast caps at low-70s—against historical analogs of similar humid setups. New model runs and NWS updates expected daily through Sunday will refine boundary layer recovery and trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,758Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate a high temperature on April 6 most likely in the 70-75°F range, aligning with closely matched market-implied probabilities around 70-71°F (23%), 72-73°F (22%), and 74-75°F (18%), as ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows consensus on subdued highs amid persistent low-level moisture and 30-50% shower chances. Record-warm March 2026 conditions have given way to a pattern shift with weak upper troughing introducing cloud cover and light precipitation risks, suppressing peak diurnal heating below climatological early-April norms of 77-80°F. Key differentiators include timing of any morning showers—early clearance favors upper-70s, while lingering overcast caps at low-70s—against historical analogs of similar humid setups. New model runs and NWS updates expected daily through Sunday will refine boundary layer recovery and trader sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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