Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits implied probabilities near 29% for 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C as the highest temperature in São Paulo on April 8, reflecting INMET's recent extension of a centro-sul heat wave through that date amid transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions boosting above-climatological norms by 2-3°C. CPTEC numerical models project maxima around 27-28°C under partly cloudy skies early, but ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from an extratropical cyclone forecasted to bring showers and southerly winds starting April 8, potentially capping peaks via increased cloud cover and humidity. Historical April highs average 25°C per official records, with daily INMET bulletins through April 7 offering key updates before resolution via airport observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 8?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 8?
27°C 23%
28°C 22%
29°C 21%
24°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 avr. 2026
21°C or below
3%
22°C
15%
23°C
15%
24°C
17%
25°C
17%
26°C
17%
27°C
23%
28°C
22%
29°C
21%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
14%
27°C 23%
28°C 22%
29°C 21%
24°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 avr. 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
22°C
$0 Vol.
15%
23°C
$0 Vol.
15%
24°C
$0 Vol.
17%
25°C
$0 Vol.
17%
26°C
$10 Vol.
17%
27°C
$0 Vol.
23%
28°C
$0 Vol.
22%
29°C
$0 Vol.
21%
30°C
$10 Vol.
17%
31°C or higher
$15 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits implied probabilities near 29% for 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C as the highest temperature in São Paulo on April 8, reflecting INMET's recent extension of a centro-sul heat wave through that date amid transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions boosting above-climatological norms by 2-3°C. CPTEC numerical models project maxima around 27-28°C under partly cloudy skies early, but ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from an extratropical cyclone forecasted to bring showers and southerly winds starting April 8, potentially capping peaks via increased cloud cover and humidity. Historical April highs average 25°C per official records, with daily INMET bulletins through April 7 offering key updates before resolution via airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 4, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volume
$35Date de fin
8 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 4, 2026, 12:37 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits implied probabilities near 29% for 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C as the highest temperature in São Paulo on April 8, reflecting INMET's recent extension of a centro-sul heat wave through that date amid transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions boosting above-climatological norms by 2-3°C. CPTEC numerical models project maxima around 27-28°C under partly cloudy skies early, but ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from an extratropical cyclone forecasted to bring showers and southerly winds starting April 8, potentially capping peaks via increased cloud cover and humidity. Historical April highs average 25°C per official records, with daily INMET bulletins through April 7 offering key updates before resolution via airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35Date de fin
8 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 4, 2026, 12:37 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits implied probabilities near 29% for 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C as the highest temperature in São Paulo on April 8, reflecting INMET's recent extension of a centro-sul heat wave through that date amid transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions boosting above-climatological norms by 2-3°C. CPTEC numerical models project maxima around 27-28°C under partly cloudy skies early, but ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from an extratropical cyclone forecasted to bring showers and southerly winds starting April 8, potentially capping peaks via increased cloud cover and humidity. Historical April highs average 25°C per official records, with daily INMET bulletins through April 7 offering key updates before resolution via airport observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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