Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 6, with 28°C at 26.5% slightly edging 27°C at 25.0% and 29°C at 19.0%, driven by latest guidance from INMET and Climatempo projecting around 28°C amid a warm autumn pattern. Recent INMET weekly outlooks highlight persistent Southeast Brazil showers from an advancing cold front over the weekend, potentially capping peaks via afternoon convective clouds and sea breeze incursions, while urban heat island effects could push readings higher. Climatempo's 15-day forecast specifies 28°C with 24% rain chance, aligning with GFS/ECMWF ensemble spreads of 1-2°C; key differentiators include cloud timing and frontal boundary position. New model runs expected daily through resolution via official INMET station data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 6 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 6 avril ?
28°C 27%
27°C 24%
29°C 20%
26°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
23°C ou moins
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
15%
27°C
24%
28°C
27%
29°C
20%
30°C
10%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C ou plus
1%
28°C 27%
27°C 24%
29°C 20%
26°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
23°C ou moins
$359 Vol.
1%
24°C
$158 Vol.
2%
25°C
$41 Vol.
5%
26°C
$102 Vol.
15%
27°C
$281 Vol.
24%
28°C
$336 Vol.
27%
29°C
$158 Vol.
20%
30°C
$52 Vol.
10%
31°C
$69 Vol.
6%
32°C
$65 Vol.
2%
33°C ou plus
$224 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 6, with 28°C at 26.5% slightly edging 27°C at 25.0% and 29°C at 19.0%, driven by latest guidance from INMET and Climatempo projecting around 28°C amid a warm autumn pattern. Recent INMET weekly outlooks highlight persistent Southeast Brazil showers from an advancing cold front over the weekend, potentially capping peaks via afternoon convective clouds and sea breeze incursions, while urban heat island effects could push readings higher. Climatempo's 15-day forecast specifies 28°C with 24% rain chance, aligning with GFS/ECMWF ensemble spreads of 1-2°C; key differentiators include cloud timing and frontal boundary position. New model runs expected daily through resolution via official INMET station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volume
$1,846Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 6, with 28°C at 26.5% slightly edging 27°C at 25.0% and 29°C at 19.0%, driven by latest guidance from INMET and Climatempo projecting around 28°C amid a warm autumn pattern. Recent INMET weekly outlooks highlight persistent Southeast Brazil showers from an advancing cold front over the weekend, potentially capping peaks via afternoon convective clouds and sea breeze incursions, while urban heat island effects could push readings higher. Climatempo's 15-day forecast specifies 28°C with 24% rain chance, aligning with GFS/ECMWF ensemble spreads of 1-2°C; key differentiators include cloud timing and frontal boundary position. New model runs expected daily through resolution via official INMET station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,846Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 6, with 28°C at 26.5% slightly edging 27°C at 25.0% and 29°C at 19.0%, driven by latest guidance from INMET and Climatempo projecting around 28°C amid a warm autumn pattern. Recent INMET weekly outlooks highlight persistent Southeast Brazil showers from an advancing cold front over the weekend, potentially capping peaks via afternoon convective clouds and sea breeze incursions, while urban heat island effects could push readings higher. Climatempo's 15-day forecast specifies 28°C with 24% rain chance, aligning with GFS/ECMWF ensemble spreads of 1-2°C; key differentiators include cloud timing and frontal boundary position. New model runs expected daily through resolution via official INMET station data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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