Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts, issued April 4, project Beijing's April 6 high at 14°C under clear skies with cold air advection from the north, a sharp drop from 22°C on April 3 and 19°C on April 4-5. However, global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS cluster around 18-20°C per sites such as timeanddate.com, closer to the 19.9°C early-April historical average, fueling tight market-implied odds with 19°C (25%) edging 20°C or higher (23.4%). This model divergence reflects spring transitional uncertainty in Beijing's North China Plain, where northerly winds and low cloud cover amplify variability in solar heating and boundary layer temperatures. Traders await CMA updates and April 5 observations for resolution clarity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Beijing on April 6?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 6?
19°C 27%
20°C or higher 26.8%
18°C 18%
17°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
8%
17°C
17%
18°C
18%
19°C
27%
20°C or higher
27%
19°C 27%
20°C or higher 26.8%
18°C 18%
17°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
10°C or below
$509 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,098 Vol.
1%
12°C
$1,165 Vol.
1%
13°C
$1,855 Vol.
1%
14°C
$1,549 Vol.
2%
15°C
$464 Vol.
5%
16°C
$715 Vol.
8%
17°C
$421 Vol.
17%
18°C
$500 Vol.
18%
19°C
$390 Vol.
27%
20°C or higher
$1,043 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts, issued April 4, project Beijing's April 6 high at 14°C under clear skies with cold air advection from the north, a sharp drop from 22°C on April 3 and 19°C on April 4-5. However, global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS cluster around 18-20°C per sites such as timeanddate.com, closer to the 19.9°C early-April historical average, fueling tight market-implied odds with 19°C (25%) edging 20°C or higher (23.4%). This model divergence reflects spring transitional uncertainty in Beijing's North China Plain, where northerly winds and low cloud cover amplify variability in solar heating and boundary layer temperatures. Traders await CMA updates and April 5 observations for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 6:31 AM ET
Volume
$9,709Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts, issued April 4, project Beijing's April 6 high at 14°C under clear skies with cold air advection from the north, a sharp drop from 22°C on April 3 and 19°C on April 4-5. However, global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS cluster around 18-20°C per sites such as timeanddate.com, closer to the 19.9°C early-April historical average, fueling tight market-implied odds with 19°C (25%) edging 20°C or higher (23.4%). This model divergence reflects spring transitional uncertainty in Beijing's North China Plain, where northerly winds and low cloud cover amplify variability in solar heating and boundary layer temperatures. Traders await CMA updates and April 5 observations for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,709Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts, issued April 4, project Beijing's April 6 high at 14°C under clear skies with cold air advection from the north, a sharp drop from 22°C on April 3 and 19°C on April 4-5. However, global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS cluster around 18-20°C per sites such as timeanddate.com, closer to the 19.9°C early-April historical average, fueling tight market-implied odds with 19°C (25%) edging 20°C or higher (23.4%). This model divergence reflects spring transitional uncertainty in Beijing's North China Plain, where northerly winds and low cloud cover amplify variability in solar heating and boundary layer temperatures. Traders await CMA updates and April 5 observations for resolution clarity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes