Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models show strong consensus for a daytime high of 17-18°C at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport on April 4, positioning the market-implied 89.5% probability for 17°C or higher. This reflects a mild southwesterly flow ushering warmer air masses amid light cloud cover and gentle breezes (around 18 km/h), fostering daytime heating above early April climatological norms of 13-15°C. Recent 24-hour model updates have tightened uncertainty ranges to ±1-2°C, with BBC Weather aligning at 18°C high, boosting trader confidence. Official observations resolve via Wunderground's daily history for the LFPG station; expect final Météo-France bulletin by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Paris on April 4?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 4?
17°C or higher 89%
16°C 8%
14°C 1.6%
15°C 1.2%
$27,683 Vol.
$27,683 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C
8%
17°C or higher
89%
17°C or higher 89%
16°C 8%
14°C 1.6%
15°C 1.2%
$27,683 Vol.
$27,683 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C
8%
17°C or higher
89%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models show strong consensus for a daytime high of 17-18°C at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport on April 4, positioning the market-implied 89.5% probability for 17°C or higher. This reflects a mild southwesterly flow ushering warmer air masses amid light cloud cover and gentle breezes (around 18 km/h), fostering daytime heating above early April climatological norms of 13-15°C. Recent 24-hour model updates have tightened uncertainty ranges to ±1-2°C, with BBC Weather aligning at 18°C high, boosting trader confidence. Official observations resolve via Wunderground's daily history for the LFPG station; expect final Météo-France bulletin by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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