Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models project Paris's highest temperature on April 6 clustering around 14–16°C, driving trader consensus toward 16°C (37% implied probability) as the frontrunner, with nearby outcomes like 15°C (24%) and 17°C (20%) close behind. This positioning follows a cool, unsettled week marked by northwest winds, frequent showers, and highs of 12–15°C through April 5, per recent Météo-France updates, but anticipates milder partly cloudy conditions and light rain clearing for peak afternoon warmth. Early April climatology supports these odds, with historical highs averaging 15–16°C amid typical spring variability from Atlantic influences. Daily model refreshes could refine peak estimates, as cloud cover introduces uncertainty in solar heating.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Paris on April 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 6?
16°C 37%
15°C 24%
17°C 20%
14°C or below 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
14°C or below
15%
15°C
24%
16°C
37%
17°C
20%
18°C
13%
19°C
6%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
16°C 37%
15°C 24%
17°C 20%
14°C or below 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
14°C or below
$522 Vol.
15%
15°C
$328 Vol.
24%
16°C
$571 Vol.
37%
17°C
$319 Vol.
20%
18°C
$425 Vol.
13%
19°C
$1,048 Vol.
6%
20°C
$302 Vol.
3%
21°C
$250 Vol.
2%
22°C
$291 Vol.
1%
23°C
$326 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$609 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models project Paris's highest temperature on April 6 clustering around 14–16°C, driving trader consensus toward 16°C (37% implied probability) as the frontrunner, with nearby outcomes like 15°C (24%) and 17°C (20%) close behind. This positioning follows a cool, unsettled week marked by northwest winds, frequent showers, and highs of 12–15°C through April 5, per recent Météo-France updates, but anticipates milder partly cloudy conditions and light rain clearing for peak afternoon warmth. Early April climatology supports these odds, with historical highs averaging 15–16°C amid typical spring variability from Atlantic influences. Daily model refreshes could refine peak estimates, as cloud cover introduces uncertainty in solar heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volume
$4,991Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models project Paris's highest temperature on April 6 clustering around 14–16°C, driving trader consensus toward 16°C (37% implied probability) as the frontrunner, with nearby outcomes like 15°C (24%) and 17°C (20%) close behind. This positioning follows a cool, unsettled week marked by northwest winds, frequent showers, and highs of 12–15°C through April 5, per recent Météo-France updates, but anticipates milder partly cloudy conditions and light rain clearing for peak afternoon warmth. Early April climatology supports these odds, with historical highs averaging 15–16°C amid typical spring variability from Atlantic influences. Daily model refreshes could refine peak estimates, as cloud cover introduces uncertainty in solar heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,991Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models project Paris's highest temperature on April 6 clustering around 14–16°C, driving trader consensus toward 16°C (37% implied probability) as the frontrunner, with nearby outcomes like 15°C (24%) and 17°C (20%) close behind. This positioning follows a cool, unsettled week marked by northwest winds, frequent showers, and highs of 12–15°C through April 5, per recent Météo-France updates, but anticipates milder partly cloudy conditions and light rain clearing for peak afternoon warmth. Early April climatology supports these odds, with historical highs averaging 15–16°C amid typical spring variability from Atlantic influences. Daily model refreshes could refine peak estimates, as cloud cover introduces uncertainty in solar heating.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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