Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 70-71°F leading at 24.5% implied probability, reflects National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting moderate highs for Los Angeles on April 6 amid persistent marine layer stratus and onshore breezes of 5-10 mph, capping daytime heating after recent fluctuations—66-67°F on April 1, 68-69°F on April 2, and warmer conditions today around 80°F under a brief high-pressure ridge. Key variables include morning cloud burn-off timing, which could push toward 74-75°F (14.5%) if winds lighten, or prolonged low clouds favoring 68-69°F (14.0%); stronger offshore flow risks 78°F+ (9.7%), while deeper marine intrusion drops to 66°F- (low odds). Historical April averages hover near 72°F at LAX/USC stations, underscoring spring uncertainty; watch NWS LOX updates this afternoon for refined model runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 6?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 6?
70-71°F 25%
74-75°F 15%
68-69°F 14%
72-73°F 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
9%
78°F or higher
10%
70-71°F 25%
74-75°F 15%
68-69°F 14%
72-73°F 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
59°F or below
$520 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$973 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$259 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$330 Vol.
4%
66-67°F
$100 Vol.
7%
68-69°F
$462 Vol.
14%
70-71°F
$263 Vol.
25%
72-73°F
$1,097 Vol.
12%
74-75°F
$270 Vol.
15%
76-77°F
$156 Vol.
9%
78°F or higher
$1,837 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 70-71°F leading at 24.5% implied probability, reflects National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting moderate highs for Los Angeles on April 6 amid persistent marine layer stratus and onshore breezes of 5-10 mph, capping daytime heating after recent fluctuations—66-67°F on April 1, 68-69°F on April 2, and warmer conditions today around 80°F under a brief high-pressure ridge. Key variables include morning cloud burn-off timing, which could push toward 74-75°F (14.5%) if winds lighten, or prolonged low clouds favoring 68-69°F (14.0%); stronger offshore flow risks 78°F+ (9.7%), while deeper marine intrusion drops to 66°F- (low odds). Historical April averages hover near 72°F at LAX/USC stations, underscoring spring uncertainty; watch NWS LOX updates this afternoon for refined model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Volume
$6,266Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:17 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 70-71°F leading at 24.5% implied probability, reflects National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting moderate highs for Los Angeles on April 6 amid persistent marine layer stratus and onshore breezes of 5-10 mph, capping daytime heating after recent fluctuations—66-67°F on April 1, 68-69°F on April 2, and warmer conditions today around 80°F under a brief high-pressure ridge. Key variables include morning cloud burn-off timing, which could push toward 74-75°F (14.5%) if winds lighten, or prolonged low clouds favoring 68-69°F (14.0%); stronger offshore flow risks 78°F+ (9.7%), while deeper marine intrusion drops to 66°F- (low odds). Historical April averages hover near 72°F at LAX/USC stations, underscoring spring uncertainty; watch NWS LOX updates this afternoon for refined model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,266Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:17 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 70-71°F leading at 24.5% implied probability, reflects National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting moderate highs for Los Angeles on April 6 amid persistent marine layer stratus and onshore breezes of 5-10 mph, capping daytime heating after recent fluctuations—66-67°F on April 1, 68-69°F on April 2, and warmer conditions today around 80°F under a brief high-pressure ridge. Key variables include morning cloud burn-off timing, which could push toward 74-75°F (14.5%) if winds lighten, or prolonged low clouds favoring 68-69°F (14.0%); stronger offshore flow risks 78°F+ (9.7%), while deeper marine intrusion drops to 66°F- (low odds). Historical April averages hover near 72°F at LAX/USC stations, underscoring spring uncertainty; watch NWS LOX updates this afternoon for refined model runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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