Latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble models project a high temperature near 75°F in Los Angeles on April 5, driving trader consensus toward tightly clustered mid-70s outcomes amid 19-23% implied probabilities for 74-79°F ranges. This reflects uncertainty in marine layer persistence—persistent stratocumulus clouds and moderate onshore flow could cap highs at 74-75°F by limiting solar heating, while earlier burn-off under amplifying upper-level ridging might push toward 78-79°F. Following March's record heat wave, early April's transitional pattern features lighter winds and gradual warming, with historical April averages around 74°F at LAX providing baseline context. New 12z model runs and NWS updates this afternoon will likely sharpen differentiation before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Los Angeles le 5 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Los Angeles le 5 avril ?
76-77°F 24%
74-75°F 19%
72-73°F 19%
78-79 °F 14%
67°F ou moins
2%
68-69 °F
9%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
24%
78-79 °F
17%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86°F ou plus
2%
76-77°F 24%
74-75°F 19%
72-73°F 19%
78-79 °F 14%
67°F ou moins
2%
68-69 °F
9%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
24%
78-79 °F
17%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86°F ou plus
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble models project a high temperature near 75°F in Los Angeles on April 5, driving trader consensus toward tightly clustered mid-70s outcomes amid 19-23% implied probabilities for 74-79°F ranges. This reflects uncertainty in marine layer persistence—persistent stratocumulus clouds and moderate onshore flow could cap highs at 74-75°F by limiting solar heating, while earlier burn-off under amplifying upper-level ridging might push toward 78-79°F. Following March's record heat wave, early April's transitional pattern features lighter winds and gradual warming, with historical April averages around 74°F at LAX providing baseline context. New 12z model runs and NWS updates this afternoon will likely sharpen differentiation before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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