National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 81°F in downtown Los Angeles on April 4 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, anchoring trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability for 80°F or higher—well above the April climatological normal of 71°F. Ensemble guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models converges on upper 70s to low 80s, supported by a building high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies after early-April light showers on the 1st and cool, breezy conditions with gusts to 55 mph through April 2-3 (highs near 72°F). Lingering marine layer risk or model spread toward 78-79°F tempers certainty; monitor NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard updates overnight for refinements ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 4?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 4?
80°F or higher 67%
78-79°F 17%
76-77°F 10%
74-75°F 5%
$20,921 Vol.
$20,921 Vol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
17%
80°F or higher
67%
80°F or higher 67%
78-79°F 17%
76-77°F 10%
74-75°F 5%
$20,921 Vol.
$20,921 Vol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
17%
80°F or higher
67%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 81°F in downtown Los Angeles on April 4 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, anchoring trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability for 80°F or higher—well above the April climatological normal of 71°F. Ensemble guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models converges on upper 70s to low 80s, supported by a building high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies after early-April light showers on the 1st and cool, breezy conditions with gusts to 55 mph through April 2-3 (highs near 72°F). Lingering marine layer risk or model spread toward 78-79°F tempers certainty; monitor NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard updates overnight for refinements ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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