Latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts, updated overnight on April 3, peg London's high temperature at 13°C on April 5 amid sunny intervals, patchy light rain, and gusty westerly winds up to 40mph from Storm Dave's remnants, aligning with the 40% implied probability for that outcome and hedging toward 12°C (24%) and 14°C (19%). Breezy conditions and morning showers limit daytime heating despite clearing skies later, consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover around 13°C at London City Airport, the market's resolution station. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement, though new forecast runs today could shift odds by 1–2°C based on cloud cover and wind evolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in London on April 5?
Highest temperature in London on April 5?
13°C 37%
12°C 24%
14°C 19%
11°C 8%
$10,323 Vol.
$10,323 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
24%
13°C
37%
14°C
19%
15°C
7%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
13°C 37%
12°C 24%
14°C 19%
11°C 8%
$10,323 Vol.
$10,323 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
24%
13°C
37%
14°C
19%
15°C
7%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts, updated overnight on April 3, peg London's high temperature at 13°C on April 5 amid sunny intervals, patchy light rain, and gusty westerly winds up to 40mph from Storm Dave's remnants, aligning with the 40% implied probability for that outcome and hedging toward 12°C (24%) and 14°C (19%). Breezy conditions and morning showers limit daytime heating despite clearing skies later, consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover around 13°C at London City Airport, the market's resolution station. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement, though new forecast runs today could shift odds by 1–2°C based on cloud cover and wind evolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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