Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate high uncertainty for Busan’s July 18 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads clustering around 29–31°C amid typical mid-July East Asian monsoon conditions. Elevated atmospheric moisture and potential cloud cover or thundershowers can suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation, while coastal sea breezes may moderate peaks near the historical July average of 29–30°C. Recent short-range guidance highlights variability in humidity and localized precipitation timing as key differentiators among adjacent thresholds, keeping market-implied probabilities closely matched as traders weigh model consensus against coastal microclimate effects.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Busan le 18 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Busan le 18 juillet ?
30°C 100.0%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$50,194 Vol.
$50,194 Vol.
18 juil. 2026
25°C ou moins
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Oui
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C ou plus
Non
30°C 100.0%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$50,194 Vol.
$50,194 Vol.
18 juil. 2026
25°C ou moins
$2,800 Vol.
Non
26°C
$1,398 Vol.
Non
27°C
$1,787 Vol.
Non
28°C
$3,967 Vol.
Non
29°C
$16,537 Vol.
Non
30°C
$6,842 Vol.
Oui
31°C
$5,479 Vol.
Non
32°C
$4,959 Vol.
Non
33°C
$4,268 Vol.
Non
34°C
$1,174 Vol.
Non
35°C ou plus
$984 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate high uncertainty for Busan’s July 18 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads clustering around 29–31°C amid typical mid-July East Asian monsoon conditions. Elevated atmospheric moisture and potential cloud cover or thundershowers can suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation, while coastal sea breezes may moderate peaks near the historical July average of 29–30°C. Recent short-range guidance highlights variability in humidity and localized precipitation timing as key differentiators among adjacent thresholds, keeping market-implied probabilities closely matched as traders weigh model consensus against coastal microclimate effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$50,194Date de fin
18 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate high uncertainty for Busan’s July 18 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads clustering around 29–31°C amid typical mid-July East Asian monsoon conditions. Elevated atmospheric moisture and potential cloud cover or thundershowers can suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation, while coastal sea breezes may moderate peaks near the historical July average of 29–30°C. Recent short-range guidance highlights variability in humidity and localized precipitation timing as key differentiators among adjacent thresholds, keeping market-implied probabilities closely matched as traders weigh model consensus against coastal microclimate effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50,194Date de fin
18 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate high uncertainty for Busan’s July 18 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads clustering around 29–31°C amid typical mid-July East Asian monsoon conditions. Elevated atmospheric moisture and potential cloud cover or thundershowers can suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation, while coastal sea breezes may moderate peaks near the historical July average of 29–30°C. Recent short-range guidance highlights variability in humidity and localized precipitation timing as key differentiators among adjacent thresholds, keeping market-implied probabilities closely matched as traders weigh model consensus against coastal microclimate effects.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes