Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates daytime highs in Busan on July 9 will likely peak near 30°C, supporting the market's leading 34.5% implied probability on that outcome. Typhoon BAVI's projected track is introducing increased cloud cover, humidity, and potential light precipitation that could moderate peak temperatures through reduced solar heating and enhanced sea breezes along the Korea Strait coast. Historical July baselines for Busan cluster between 27–30°C, but subtle differences in BAVI's timing, intensity, or steering flow may determine whether readings reach 31°C or stay at 29°C, creating the tight spread across adjacent bins. Updated short-range runs and official advisories over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Busan le 9 juillet ?
Température la plus élevée à Busan le 9 juillet ?
30°C 100.0%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$60,738 Vol.
$60,738 Vol.
9 juil. 2026
25°C ou moins
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Oui
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C ou plus
Non
30°C 100.0%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$60,738 Vol.
$60,738 Vol.
9 juil. 2026
25°C ou moins
$2,631 Vol.
Non
26°C
$2,990 Vol.
Non
27°C
$2,139 Vol.
Non
28°C
$2,802 Vol.
Non
29°C
$9,960 Vol.
Non
30°C
$12,447 Vol.
Oui
31°C
$7,758 Vol.
Non
32°C
$7,970 Vol.
Non
33°C
$5,207 Vol.
Non
34°C
$3,940 Vol.
Non
35°C ou plus
$2,893 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates daytime highs in Busan on July 9 will likely peak near 30°C, supporting the market's leading 34.5% implied probability on that outcome. Typhoon BAVI's projected track is introducing increased cloud cover, humidity, and potential light precipitation that could moderate peak temperatures through reduced solar heating and enhanced sea breezes along the Korea Strait coast. Historical July baselines for Busan cluster between 27–30°C, but subtle differences in BAVI's timing, intensity, or steering flow may determine whether readings reach 31°C or stay at 29°C, creating the tight spread across adjacent bins. Updated short-range runs and official advisories over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$60,738Date de fin
9 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates daytime highs in Busan on July 9 will likely peak near 30°C, supporting the market's leading 34.5% implied probability on that outcome. Typhoon BAVI's projected track is introducing increased cloud cover, humidity, and potential light precipitation that could moderate peak temperatures through reduced solar heating and enhanced sea breezes along the Korea Strait coast. Historical July baselines for Busan cluster between 27–30°C, but subtle differences in BAVI's timing, intensity, or steering flow may determine whether readings reach 31°C or stay at 29°C, creating the tight spread across adjacent bins. Updated short-range runs and official advisories over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$60,738Date de fin
9 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates daytime highs in Busan on July 9 will likely peak near 30°C, supporting the market's leading 34.5% implied probability on that outcome. Typhoon BAVI's projected track is introducing increased cloud cover, humidity, and potential light precipitation that could moderate peak temperatures through reduced solar heating and enhanced sea breezes along the Korea Strait coast. Historical July baselines for Busan cluster between 27–30°C, but subtle differences in BAVI's timing, intensity, or steering flow may determine whether readings reach 31°C or stay at 29°C, creating the tight spread across adjacent bins. Updated short-range runs and official advisories over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes