Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly observations from Gimhae International Airport Station—the official resolution source—confirm Busan's high temperature peaked at 21°C this afternoon amid clear skies and light southwest winds, precisely matching short-range forecast model consensus released in the past 24 hours. This mild peak aligns with early May climatology for Busan, where average highs range 20–22°C under typical high-pressure ridging and minimal cloud cover, following cooler recent days with highs near 19°C. Trader-implied 100% probability on 21°C reflects this robust evidence-based consensus, with skin-in-the-game positioning. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon solar heating spike before sunset or a rare observational revision, though KMA data updates later today will finalize the record.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Busan on May 5?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 5?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$67,530 Vol.
$67,530 Vol.
5 mai 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$67,530 Vol.
$67,530 Vol.
5 mai 2026
14°C or below
$472 Vol.
No
15°C
$685 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,382 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,061 Vol.
No
18°C
$6,132 Vol.
No
19°C
$7,067 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,155 Vol.
No
21°C
$7,990 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$11,290 Vol.
No
23°C
$12,718 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$13,577 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly observations from Gimhae International Airport Station—the official resolution source—confirm Busan's high temperature peaked at 21°C this afternoon amid clear skies and light southwest winds, precisely matching short-range forecast model consensus released in the past 24 hours. This mild peak aligns with early May climatology for Busan, where average highs range 20–22°C under typical high-pressure ridging and minimal cloud cover, following cooler recent days with highs near 19°C. Trader-implied 100% probability on 21°C reflects this robust evidence-based consensus, with skin-in-the-game positioning. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon solar heating spike before sunset or a rare observational revision, though KMA data updates later today will finalize the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volume
$67,530Date de fin
5 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly observations from Gimhae International Airport Station—the official resolution source—confirm Busan's high temperature peaked at 21°C this afternoon amid clear skies and light southwest winds, precisely matching short-range forecast model consensus released in the past 24 hours. This mild peak aligns with early May climatology for Busan, where average highs range 20–22°C under typical high-pressure ridging and minimal cloud cover, following cooler recent days with highs near 19°C. Trader-implied 100% probability on 21°C reflects this robust evidence-based consensus, with skin-in-the-game positioning. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon solar heating spike before sunset or a rare observational revision, though KMA data updates later today will finalize the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$67,530Date de fin
5 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly observations from Gimhae International Airport Station—the official resolution source—confirm Busan's high temperature peaked at 21°C this afternoon amid clear skies and light southwest winds, precisely matching short-range forecast model consensus released in the past 24 hours. This mild peak aligns with early May climatology for Busan, where average highs range 20–22°C under typical high-pressure ridging and minimal cloud cover, following cooler recent days with highs near 19°C. Trader-implied 100% probability on 21°C reflects this robust evidence-based consensus, with skin-in-the-game positioning. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon solar heating spike before sunset or a rare observational revision, though KMA data updates later today will finalize the record.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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