Recent South African Weather Service and model guidance for Cape Town points to a typical mid-winter setup with Atlantic moderation keeping daytime maxima near the seasonal 16–18 °C average. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 15–18 °C because small differences in the timing or strength of an approaching cold front, or a transient berg-wind episode, can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, yet coastal cloud cover, wind direction, and exact frontal passage still create enough forecast uncertainty to keep the four leading outcomes within a few percentage points of one another.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 23?
17°C 100.0%
11°C ou moins <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$41,686 Vol.
$41,686 Vol.
11°C ou moins
Non
12°C
No
13°C
Non
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C ou moins <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$41,686 Vol.
$41,686 Vol.
11°C ou moins
Non
12°C
No
13°C
Non
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 21, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent South African Weather Service and model guidance for Cape Town points to a typical mid-winter setup with Atlantic moderation keeping daytime maxima near the seasonal 16–18 °C average. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 15–18 °C because small differences in the timing or strength of an approaching cold front, or a transient berg-wind episode, can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, yet coastal cloud cover, wind direction, and exact frontal passage still create enough forecast uncertainty to keep the four leading outcomes within a few percentage points of one another.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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