Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate highs of 34–37°C on July 7 amid typical midsummer conditions, with models showing modest spread due to variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–80%, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that can suppress peak readings. Official climatology places July averages around 30–31°C, though recent years have seen more frequent exceedances of 35°C amid broader warming trends. The tightly clustered market-implied odds around 35–38°C reflect this forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 7 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 7 juillet ?
37°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$94,332 Vol.
$94,332 Vol.
7 juil. 2026
33°C or below
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$94,332 Vol.
$94,332 Vol.
7 juil. 2026
33°C or below
$10,870 Vol.
No
34°C
$10,539 Vol.
No
35°C
$7,944 Vol.
No
36°C
$14,593 Vol.
No
37°C
$13,630 Vol.
Yes
38°C
$12,657 Vol.
No
39°C
$14,174 Vol.
No
40°C
$4,498 Vol.
No
41°C
$3,395 Vol.
No
42°C
$1,741 Vol.
No
43°C or higher
$290 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate highs of 34–37°C on July 7 amid typical midsummer conditions, with models showing modest spread due to variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–80%, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that can suppress peak readings. Official climatology places July averages around 30–31°C, though recent years have seen more frequent exceedances of 35°C amid broader warming trends. The tightly clustered market-implied odds around 35–38°C reflect this forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$94,332Date de fin
7 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate highs of 34–37°C on July 7 amid typical midsummer conditions, with models showing modest spread due to variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–80%, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that can suppress peak readings. Official climatology places July averages around 30–31°C, though recent years have seen more frequent exceedances of 35°C amid broader warming trends. The tightly clustered market-implied odds around 35–38°C reflect this forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$94,332Date de fin
7 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate highs of 34–37°C on July 7 amid typical midsummer conditions, with models showing modest spread due to variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–80%, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that can suppress peak readings. Official climatology places July averages around 30–31°C, though recent years have seen more frequent exceedances of 35°C amid broader warming trends. The tightly clustered market-implied odds around 35–38°C reflect this forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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