Recent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and regional models indicate afternoon highs for Chengdu on July 8 around 35–37°C under a mix of broken clouds and early thunderstorms, aligning with typical Sichuan Basin summer conditions where topography traps heat and limits ventilation. Trader sentiment clusters near 37–39°C because subtle variations in solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of convective showers can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. High relative humidity further reduces evaporative cooling, while any delay in monsoon-driven rainfall allows greater daytime warming. Model spread and the two-day forecast horizon sustain the closely matched probabilities across these outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 8 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 8 juillet ?
39°C 100.0%
33°C ou moins <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$89,140 Vol.
$89,140 Vol.
8 juil. 2026
33°C ou moins
Non
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C
Non
38°C
Non
39°C
Oui
40°C
Non
41°C
Non
42°C
Non
43°C ou plus
Non
39°C 100.0%
33°C ou moins <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$89,140 Vol.
$89,140 Vol.
8 juil. 2026
33°C ou moins
$3,929 Vol.
Non
34°C
$4,204 Vol.
Non
35°C
$4,705 Vol.
Non
36°C
$7,459 Vol.
Non
37°C
$15,525 Vol.
Non
38°C
$20,174 Vol.
Non
39°C
$11,703 Vol.
Oui
40°C
$6,838 Vol.
Non
41°C
$6,008 Vol.
Non
42°C
$4,358 Vol.
Non
43°C ou plus
$4,238 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and regional models indicate afternoon highs for Chengdu on July 8 around 35–37°C under a mix of broken clouds and early thunderstorms, aligning with typical Sichuan Basin summer conditions where topography traps heat and limits ventilation. Trader sentiment clusters near 37–39°C because subtle variations in solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of convective showers can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. High relative humidity further reduces evaporative cooling, while any delay in monsoon-driven rainfall allows greater daytime warming. Model spread and the two-day forecast horizon sustain the closely matched probabilities across these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$89,140Date de fin
8 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and regional models indicate afternoon highs for Chengdu on July 8 around 35–37°C under a mix of broken clouds and early thunderstorms, aligning with typical Sichuan Basin summer conditions where topography traps heat and limits ventilation. Trader sentiment clusters near 37–39°C because subtle variations in solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of convective showers can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. High relative humidity further reduces evaporative cooling, while any delay in monsoon-driven rainfall allows greater daytime warming. Model spread and the two-day forecast horizon sustain the closely matched probabilities across these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$89,140Date de fin
8 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and regional models indicate afternoon highs for Chengdu on July 8 around 35–37°C under a mix of broken clouds and early thunderstorms, aligning with typical Sichuan Basin summer conditions where topography traps heat and limits ventilation. Trader sentiment clusters near 37–39°C because subtle variations in solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of convective showers can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. High relative humidity further reduces evaporative cooling, while any delay in monsoon-driven rainfall allows greater daytime warming. Model spread and the two-day forecast horizon sustain the closely matched probabilities across these outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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