Latest short-range forecast models from major agencies have converged on a June 1 maximum of exactly 31°C in Chengdu, reflecting stable early-summer conditions across the Sichuan Basin where daytime highs typically range 28–33°C. This tight ensemble guidance, incorporating current atmospheric patterns, humidity levels, and minimal cloud-cover variability, underpins the market’s near-certain pricing on 31°C. Official observational data from meteorological stations will determine final resolution, with only minor deviations from model runs or localized microclimate effects able to alter the recorded peak. Historical June baselines support this outcome as the most probable under prevailing climatology.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 1?
31°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
32°C <1%
$66,428 Vol.
$66,428 Vol.
1 juin 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
32°C <1%
$66,428 Vol.
$66,428 Vol.
1 juin 2026
29°C or below
$6,184 Vol.
No
30°C
$9,167 Vol.
No
31°C
$19,182 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$8,705 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,756 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,817 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,570 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,036 Vol.
No
37°C
$2,784 Vol.
No
38°C
$1,561 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$1,668 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecast models from major agencies have converged on a June 1 maximum of exactly 31°C in Chengdu, reflecting stable early-summer conditions across the Sichuan Basin where daytime highs typically range 28–33°C. This tight ensemble guidance, incorporating current atmospheric patterns, humidity levels, and minimal cloud-cover variability, underpins the market’s near-certain pricing on 31°C. Official observational data from meteorological stations will determine final resolution, with only minor deviations from model runs or localized microclimate effects able to alter the recorded peak. Historical June baselines support this outcome as the most probable under prevailing climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : May 30, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Volume
$66,428Date de fin
1 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 30, 2026, 12:35 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecast models from major agencies have converged on a June 1 maximum of exactly 31°C in Chengdu, reflecting stable early-summer conditions across the Sichuan Basin where daytime highs typically range 28–33°C. This tight ensemble guidance, incorporating current atmospheric patterns, humidity levels, and minimal cloud-cover variability, underpins the market’s near-certain pricing on 31°C. Official observational data from meteorological stations will determine final resolution, with only minor deviations from model runs or localized microclimate effects able to alter the recorded peak. Historical June baselines support this outcome as the most probable under prevailing climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$66,428Date de fin
1 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 30, 2026, 12:35 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Latest short-range forecast models from major agencies have converged on a June 1 maximum of exactly 31°C in Chengdu, reflecting stable early-summer conditions across the Sichuan Basin where daytime highs typically range 28–33°C. This tight ensemble guidance, incorporating current atmospheric patterns, humidity levels, and minimal cloud-cover variability, underpins the market’s near-certain pricing on 31°C. Official observational data from meteorological stations will determine final resolution, with only minor deviations from model runs or localized microclimate effects able to alter the recorded peak. Historical June baselines support this outcome as the most probable under prevailing climatology.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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